Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Normannia Gmund vs Hollenbach

Germany Germany

Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Normannia Gmund play Hollenbach in the Oberliga Baden-Württemberg. It looks like a close match. Recently, FC Normannia Gmund averaged 1.62 goals scored and 1.48 conceded. Hollenbach averaged 1.55 goals scored and 1.84 conceded. In past meetings, FC Normannia Gmund won 2, Hollenbach won 0, and they drew 3. Their last match on Mar 21, 2026 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.13 for FC Normannia Gmund and 1.31 for Hollenbach. This points to a FC Normannia Gmund double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
FC Normannia Gmund
35%
Draws
28%
Hollenbach
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: FC Normannia Gmund

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Normannia Gmund picked up more points recently compared to Hollenbach.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.13 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 65%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Over 3.5 Goals 39%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
FC Normannia Gmund Clean Sheet 18%
Hollenbach Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Normannia Gmund Hollenbach
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 8 9
Draws 12 7
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.62 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.84
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
FC Normannia Gmund vs Hollenbach
2:2
Sep 6, 2025 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
Hollenbach vs FC Normannia Gmund
0:0
Mar 1, 2025 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
Hollenbach vs FC Normannia Gmund
0:4
Aug 24, 2024 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
FC Normannia Gmund vs Hollenbach
2:1
Apr 13, 2024 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
Hollenbach vs FC Normannia Gmund
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Normannia Gmund 37 / 100
Hollenbach 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Normannia Gmund Hollenbach

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: FC Normannia Gmund or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +27.6%
3.45
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.69
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

FC Normannia Gmund attacking → ← attacking Hollenbach

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Normannia Gmund scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Hollenbach let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

FC Normannia Gmund went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Hollenbach lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 34
2.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Aalen34265387:2483
2VfR Mannheim34209581:3469
3FC Nottingen341841282:6158
4Ravensburg34169961:5257
5TSV Essingen341412854:5854
6Oberachern341661254:6254
71. CfR Pforzheim3412121068:6148
8Reutlingen3412111156:5047
9FC 08 Villingen3412111155:5647
10Karlsruher II3411101354:6143
11Backnang341261650:6742
12Turkish SV Singen341241855:8140
13FC Normannia Gmund349121353:5139
14Turkspor Neckarsulm341161752:6139
15Goppinger34991653:5336
16Hollenbach34981756:6935
17Bietigheim-Bissingen347121554:8133
18Denzlingen34542535:7819