Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Nottingen vs Fellbach

Germany Germany

Oberliga Baden-Württemberg 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Waldraff F.
10' Event
Krajinovic F.
21' Event
Causevic B.

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Baden-Württemberg 2024/2025 game between FC Nottingen and Fellbach finished 7-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Nottingen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
FC Nottingen
15%
Draws
85%
Fellbach
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fellbach

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Fellbach haven't matched FC Nottingen's recent run of results.
  • FC Nottingen are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Oberliga Baden-Württemberg 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and FC Nottingen have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
FC Nottingen Clean Sheet 16%
Fellbach Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Nottingen Fellbach
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 15 6
Draws 2 3
Losses 16 21
Goals Scored 2.12 1
Goals Conceded 2.03 2.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2025 Club Friendly
Fellbach vs FC Nottingen
0:1
Nov 22, 2024 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
FC Nottingen vs Fellbach
7:2
Aug 3, 2024 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
Fellbach vs FC Nottingen
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Nottingen Compare

Top Goalscorer Stojak D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Waldraff F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.86

Fellbach Compare

Top Goalscorer Causevic B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Arslan A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Nottingen 84 / 100
Fellbach 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Nottingen Fellbach

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Nottingen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Nottingen's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Fellbach's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 4.67 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Fellbach has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Nottingen VS -
2.25 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Nottingen

(Home)
18 Sept
FC Nottingen
2 : 3
Young Boys Reutlingen
13 Sept
Turkish SV Singen
4 : 3
FC Nottingen
09 Sept
FC Nottingen
0 : 1
Bahlinger
04 Sept
Holzhausen FC
3 : 1
FC Nottingen
29 Aug
FC Nottingen
0 : 1
Oberachern
Page 1 of 7

Fellbach

(Away)
20 Jan
Fellbach
3 : 3
Backnang
12 Jul
Fellbach
1 : 7
VfB Stuttgart
31 May
Fellbach
0 : 6
Reutlingen
24 May
Bietigheim-Bissingen
3 : 1
Fellbach
16 May
Fellbach
0 : 2
Leinfelden-Echterdingen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sonnenhof Grossaspach 34 31 2 1 109:26 95
2 Balingen 34 24 4 6 78:44 76
3 VfR Mannheim 34 20 7 7 71:41 67
4 Aalen 34 17 9 8 61:32 60
5 1. CfR Pforzheim 34 18 6 10 65:44 60
6 Oberachern 34 15 7 12 50:41 52
7 FC Nottingen 34 15 5 14 73:53 50
8 Backnang 34 14 8 12 60:49 50
9 Reutlingen 34 13 10 11 57:52 49
10 TSV Essingen 34 14 6 14 46:45 48
11 Hollenbach 34 14 6 14 54:60 48
12 FC Normannia Gmund 34 14 3 17 62:65 45
13 Bietigheim-Bissingen 34 12 7 15 54:63 43
14 Ravensburg 34 9 11 14 40:52 38
15 Fellbach 34 9 3 22 35:84 30
16 Zuzenhausen 34 8 3 23 42:87 27
17 Leinfelden-Echterdingen 34 5 3 26 38:83 18
18 FC 08 Villingen II 34 4 0 30 30:104 12
Promotion - Regionalliga Sudwest 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Hessen 2024/2025 (Promotion)