Sport Picks
FC Obermais vs Lavarian Mortean Esperia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie D - Group C 
Match Events
37'
37'
Foschiani G.
45'
45'
Ngom M. B.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group C game between FC Obermais and Lavarian Mortean Esperia finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
33%
/ Low Confidence
- FC Obermais carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Regular Serie D - Group C form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 60%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
FC Obermais Clean Sheet 68%
Lavarian Mortean Esperia Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FC Obermais | Lavarian Mortean Esperia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 6 |
| Wins | 8 | 2 |
| Draws | 11 | 2 |
| Losses | 9 | 2 |
| Goals Scored | 1.18 | 0.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 0.98 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 16, 2026 Serie D - Group C
FC Obermais vs Lavarian Mortean Esperia
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
FC Obermais Compare
Top Goalscorer Ngom M. B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Lavarian Mortean Esperia Compare
Top Goalscorer Foschiani G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.89
Avg xA / game 0.54
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
FC Obermais 41 / 100
Lavarian Mortean Esperia 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
FC Obermais Lavarian Mortean Esperia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick FC Obermais Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
FC Obermais scored in 71% of their last 28 games.
Defensive concern: Lavarian Mortean Esperia conceded in 67% of 6 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Solid form: FC Obermais remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
FC Obermais VS Lavarian Mortean Esperia
1.25 Goals Scored 0.71
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 57%
38% Over 2.5 43%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
FC Obermais
(Home) 04 Oct
Triestina
2 : 0 FC Obermais
27 Sept
FC Obermais
2 : 2 Mestre
20 Sept
Conegliano
1 : 0 FC Obermais
16 Sept
FC Obermais
1 : 1 Lavarian Mortean Esperia
13 Sept
Este
0 : 1 FC Obermais
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
FC Obermais
2 : 2 Mestre
16 Sept
FC Obermais
1 : 1 Lavarian Mortean Esperia
06 Sept
FC Obermais
2 : 5 Cjarlins Muzane
26 Apr
FC Obermais
1 : 1 Conegliano
19 Apr
FC Obermais
0 : 0 Altavilla
Page 1 of 3
Lavarian Mortean Esperia
(Away) 03 Oct
Lavarian Mortean Esperia
0 : 3 Cjarlins Muzane
27 Sept
Conegliano
0 : 1 Lavarian Mortean Esperia
20 Sept
Lavarian Mortean Esperia
1 : 2 Campodarsego
16 Sept
FC Obermais
1 : 1 Lavarian Mortean Esperia
13 Sept
Lavarian Mortean Esperia
0 : 0 Altavilla
Page 1 of 2
27 Sept
Conegliano
0 : 1 Lavarian Mortean Esperia
16 Sept
FC Obermais
1 : 1 Lavarian Mortean Esperia
06 Sept
Bassano Virtus
1 : 2 Lavarian Mortean Esperia
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cjarlins Muzane | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 17:5 | 15 |
| 2 | Luparense FC | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14:3 | 14 |
| 3 | Calcio San Dona | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | 11 |
| 4 | Mestre | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 9:6 | 10 |
| 5 | Campodarsego | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:8 | 10 |
| 6 | Clodiense | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:8 | 10 |
| 7 | Bassano Virtus | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:3 | 9 |
| 8 | Calvi Noale | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:5 | 8 |
| 9 | Lavarian Mortean Esperia | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | 8 |
| 10 | Este | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:5 | 7 |
| 11 | Legnago Salus | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:9 | 7 |
| 12 | Conegliano | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3:7 | 7 |
| 13 | Altavilla | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 14:9 | 6 |
| 14 | Triestina | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:8 | 6 |
| 15 | Virtus Bolzano | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:18 | 6 |
| 16 | FC Obermais | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:11 | 5 |
| 17 | Schio | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3:6 | 4 |
| 18 | Brian Lignano | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7:14 | 3 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group C (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C (Play Out)
