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FC Obermais vs Luparense FC

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Bombagi F.
90'
Syku T.
90' Event
Smrcka A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group C matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
FC Obermais
17%
Draws
13%
Luparense FC
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: FC Obermais

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • FC Obermais haven't matched Luparense FC's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans FC Obermais's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
FC Obermais Clean Sheet 68%
Luparense FC Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Obermais Luparense FC
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 9
Draws 9 10
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.13 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.13 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2026 Serie D - Group C
FC Obermais vs Luparense FC
1:1
Nov 23, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Luparense FC vs FC Obermais
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Obermais Compare

Top Goalscorer Smrcka A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Luparense FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Bombagi F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Obermais 77 / 100
Luparense FC 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Obermais Luparense FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Obermais went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

FC Obermais scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Luparense FC let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

FC Obermais VS Luparense FC
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Obermais

(Home)
17 May
Vigasio
2 : 3
FC Obermais
10 May
San Luigi
1 : 3
FC Obermais
03 May
San Luigi
1 : 1
FC Obermais
26 Apr
FC Obermais
1 : 1
Conegliano
19 Apr
FC Obermais
0 : 0
Altavilla
Page 1 of 6

Luparense FC

(Away)
03 May
Este
2 : 0
Luparense FC
26 Apr
Luparense FC
1 : 0
Vigasio
19 Apr
Conegliano
1 : 1
Luparense FC
12 Apr
Luparense FC
1 : 2
Mestre
02 Apr
FC Obermais
1 : 1
Luparense FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Treviso34216750:2569
2Legnago Salus34187963:4161
3Clodiense34179847:2960
4Este341413740:2955
5Mestre341413737:2955
6Cjarlins Muzane341312941:3951
7Brian Lignano341681058:3450
8Conegliano3413111036:2850
9Bassano Virtus341214837:2750
10Campodarsego341391237:3448
11Altavilla341016828:2446
12Calvi Noale341351638:4044
13Luparense FC3410131136:3943
14Vigasio348141244:4638
15San Luigi348101633:5434
16FC Obermais348101633:4634
17Adriese34562324:6218
18Portogruaro34182525:8111
Promotion - Serie D - Group C (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C (Additional match)