Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Oryol vs FK Shumbrat Saransk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Lomukhin A.
88' Event
Abrasimov D.

AI Match Summary

FK Shumbrat Saransk in this FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored FK Shumbrat Saransk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
FC Oryol
20%
Draws
36%
FK Shumbrat Saransk
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FC Oryol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • FK Shumbrat Saransk have won more games recently than FC Oryol.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
FC Oryol Clean Sheet 19%
FK Shumbrat Saransk Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Oryol FK Shumbrat Saransk
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 13
Draws 5 6
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.11 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
FC Oryol vs FK Shumbrat Saransk
0:2
May 31, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
FK Shumbrat Saransk vs FC Oryol
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Oryol Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

FK Shumbrat Saransk Compare

Top Goalscorer Lomukhin A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Abrasimov D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Oryol 32 / 100
FK Shumbrat Saransk 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Oryol FK Shumbrat Saransk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: FK Shumbrat Saransk conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

FC Oryol found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (28 games).

FC Oryol has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

FC Oryol VS FK Shumbrat Saransk
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Oryol

(Home)
03 Oct
FC Oryol
1 : 0
Strogino Moscow
26 Sept
SKA Khabarovsk 2
0 : 2
FC Oryol
17 Sept
FC Oryol
0 : 2
FK Shumbrat Saransk
12 Sept
Spartak Tambov
3 : 0
FC Oryol
05 Sept
Kursk
3 : 2
FC Oryol
Page 1 of 6

FK Shumbrat Saransk

(Away)
10 Oct
FK Shumbrat Saransk
0 : 0
R. Volgograd 2
03 Oct
Kvant Obninsk
2 : 2
FK Shumbrat Saransk
26 Sept
FK Shumbrat Saransk
0 : 1
Salyut-Belgorod
17 Sept
FC Oryol
0 : 2
FK Shumbrat Saransk
12 Sept
FK Shumbrat Saransk
2 : 3
Rodina Moscow 3
Page 1 of 6