Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Oryol vs Ryazan

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 2025 Tsentral'nyy Stadion Im. V. I. Lenina
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Oryol play Ryazan in the FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, FC Oryol averaged 1.57 goals scored and 1.57 conceded. Ryazan averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. In past meetings, FC Oryol won 0, Ryazan won 2, and they drew 3. Their last match on May 1, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for FC Oryol and 1.44 for Ryazan. This points to a Ryazan double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
FC Oryol
35%
Draws
33%
Ryazan
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ryazan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Oryol picked up more points recently compared to Ryazan.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.00 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%
FC Oryol Clean Sheet 16%
Ryazan Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 70%
Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Oryol Ryazan
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 8 14
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.57 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Ryazan vs FC Oryol
1:1
Nov 1, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
FC Oryol vs Ryazan
2:2
Mar 29, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Ryazan vs FC Oryol
3:2
Sep 22, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Ryazan vs FC Oryol
3:0
Jun 7, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
FC Oryol vs Ryazan
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Oryol Compare

Top Goalscorer Gogrichiani G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cherepanov S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Ryazan Compare

Top Goalscorer Avdyukhin S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Borovitskiy A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Oryol 32 / 100
Ryazan 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Oryol Ryazan

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Ryazan or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +33.4%
4.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.2%
2.22
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

FC Oryol attacking → ← attacking Ryazan

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Oryol scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Ryazan let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

FC Oryol went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Ryazan lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

41 Points in last 5 41
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1D. Bryansk28194549:1861
2Salyut-Belgorod28193653:2460
3Dynamo Petersburg28178357:2059
4Spartak Tambov28165747:2553
5Znamya Truda28164857:2952
6Ryazan28138736:2947
7M. Lipetsk281351036:2544
8FC Oryol281081036:3738
9Arsenal Tula 228961339:3933
10Rodina Moscow 328881239:4632
11Penza28841626:4028
12SKA Khabarovsk 228831739:6427
13R. Volgograd 228581526:4423
14Strogino Moscow28631931:7321
15Kvant Obninsk28172017:7510
16Khimki 200000:00