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FC Oryol vs Ryazan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Evgenjev E.
(Penalty)
45'
Gordienko V.
45'
Gordienko V.

AI Match Summary

Ryazan in this FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ryazan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
FC Oryol
20%
Draws
52%
Ryazan
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ryazan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Oryol haven't matched Ryazan's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Ryazan a 52% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
FC Oryol Clean Sheet 14%
Ryazan Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Oryol Ryazan
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 17
Draws 6 8
Losses 15 4
Goals Scored 1 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.62 0.59
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
FC Oryol vs Ryazan
0:2
May 1, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Ryazan vs FC Oryol
1:1
Nov 1, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
FC Oryol vs Ryazan
2:2
Mar 29, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Ryazan vs FC Oryol
3:2
Sep 22, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Ryazan vs FC Oryol
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Oryol Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Ryazan Compare

Top Goalscorer Kotov A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Oryol 11 / 100
Ryazan 76 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Oryol Ryazan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ryazan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Recent resilience: FC Oryol stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

FC Oryol scored in 52% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Ryazan conceded in 41% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

FC Oryol VS Ryazan
0.63 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Oryol

(Home)
17 Oct
FC Oryol
0 : 0
Penza
11 Oct
Arsenal Tula 2
1 : 0
FC Oryol
03 Oct
FC Oryol
1 : 0
Strogino Moscow
26 Sept
SKA Khabarovsk 2
0 : 2
FC Oryol
17 Sept
FC Oryol
0 : 2
FK Shumbrat Saransk
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Ryazan

(Away)
17 Oct
Ryazan
1 : 0
FK Shumbrat Saransk
10 Oct
Spartak Tambov
0 : 0
Ryazan
04 Oct
Ryazan
4 : 0
Kursk
30 Sept
Ryazan
2 : 0
Penza
26 Sept
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
0 : 2
Ryazan
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