Sport Picks
FC Osaka vs Fukushima United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Japan
J3 League Hanazono Rugby Stadium, Higashiosaka 
Match Events
34'
34'
Kubo R.
Assist: Isa K.
36'
36'
Sumida S.
Assist: Morimura S.
42'
42'
Nakamura T.
AI Match Summary
The J3 League game between FC Osaka and Fukushima United finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Osaka.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
20%
29%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FC Osaka
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Fukushima United's 2 goals per match outpaces what FC Osaka have produced (1.53).
- FC Osaka are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular J3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
FC Osaka Clean Sheet 19%
Fukushima United Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FC Osaka | Fukushima United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 11 |
| Draws | 5 | 2 |
| Losses | 14 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.53 | 2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.23 | 2.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.31 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 18, 2026 J3 League
FC Osaka vs Fukushima United
4:1
Nov 2, 2025 J3 League
Fukushima United vs FC Osaka
0:1
Jun 22, 2025 J3 League
FC Osaka vs Fukushima United
7:1
Sep 23, 2024 J3 League
FC Osaka vs Fukushima United
1:2
Jun 23, 2024 J3 League
Fukushima United vs FC Osaka
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
FC Osaka Compare
Top Goalscorer Kubo R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Sumida S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16
Fukushima United Compare
Top Goalscorer Shimizu K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
FC Osaka 85 / 100
Fukushima United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
FC Osaka Fukushima United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick FC Osaka Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Fukushima United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.
H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.
FC Osaka's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
FC Osaka went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
FC Osaka VS Fukushima United
1.75 Goals Scored 1.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
FC Osaka
(Home) 09 Oct
FC Osaka
1 : 1 Kanazawa
03 Oct
SC Sagamihara
1 : 0 FC Osaka
29 Sept
FC Osaka
1 : 2 Avispa Fukuoka
26 Sept
Kochi United
0 : 4 FC Osaka
18 Sept
FC Osaka
4 : 1 Fukushima United
Page 1 of 6
09 Oct
FC Osaka
1 : 1 Kanazawa
29 Sept
FC Osaka
1 : 2 Avispa Fukuoka
18 Sept
FC Osaka
4 : 1 Fukushima United
14 Sept
FC Osaka
2 : 1 Ehime
02 Sept
FC Osaka
3 : 0 Kofu
Page 1 of 3
Fukushima United
(Away) 10 Oct
Fukushima United
2 : 2 Reilac Shiga
04 Oct
Kagoshima United
3 : 2 Fukushima United
29 Sept
Fukushima United
0 : 7 Mito
26 Sept
Fukushima United
4 : 3 Nagano Parceiro
18 Sept
FC Osaka
4 : 1 Fukushima United
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Kagoshima United
3 : 2 Fukushima United
18 Sept
FC Osaka
4 : 1 Fukushima United
05 Sept
Thespakusatsu Gunma
1 : 3 Fukushima United
26 Aug
Yokohama F. Marinos
1 : 0 Fukushima United
22 Aug
Gainare Tottori
2 : 1 Fukushima United
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ehime | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 24:10 | 23 |
| 2 | Kagoshima United | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 19:11 | 23 |
| 3 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 14:7 | 20 |
| 4 | Nara Club | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 21:16 | 20 |
| 5 | SC Sagamihara | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18:12 | 18 |
| 6 | FC Osaka | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 18:9 | 17 |
| 7 | Gifu | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20:10 | 16 |
| 8 | Kanazawa | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17:14 | 14 |
| 9 | Kumamoto | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 7:6 | 14 |
| 10 | Reilac Shiga | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16:16 | 14 |
| 11 | Nagano Parceiro | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14:14 | 14 |
| 12 | Gainare Tottori | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 12:19 | 13 |
| 13 | Matsumoto Yamaga | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 9:11 | 11 |
| 14 | Ryukyu | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11:14 | 11 |
| 15 | Tochigi SC | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11:15 | 10 |
| 16 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12:18 | 10 |
| 17 | Thespakusatsu Gunma | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 10:19 | 9 |
| 18 | Fukushima United | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 20:25 | 8 |
| 19 | Kamatamare Sanuki | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12:20 | 5 |
| 20 | Kochi United | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4:23 | 5 |
Promotion - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J3 League (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - J3 League (Relegation)
