Sport Picks
FC Osaka vs Nagano Parceiro
Japan
J3 League Hanazono Rugby Stadium, Higashiosaka 
Match Events
4'
4'
Haga A.
Assist: Fukui K.
20'
20'
Yoshizawa S.
Assist: Watanabe Z.
54'
54'
Yoshizawa S.
Assist: Fujikawa K.
AI Match Summary
FC Osaka in this J3 League matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Osaka.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
45%
35%
20%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: FC Osaka
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: FC Osaka at 1.46 per game, Nagano Parceiro at 1.03.
- Model gives FC Osaka a 45% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and FC Osaka have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
FC Osaka Clean Sheet 68%
Nagano Parceiro Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FC Osaka | Nagano Parceiro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 11 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 13 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.46 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1.79 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 16, 2026 J3 League
FC Osaka vs Nagano Parceiro
4:2
Nov 10, 2025 J3 League
FC Osaka vs Nagano Parceiro
3:0
Jul 6, 2025 J3 League
Nagano Parceiro vs FC Osaka
0:0
Sep 7, 2024 J3 League
Nagano Parceiro vs FC Osaka
0:2
Feb 25, 2024 J3 League
FC Osaka vs Nagano Parceiro
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
FC Osaka Compare
Top Goalscorer Haga A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Shimada T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Nagano Parceiro Compare
Top Goalscorer Yoshizawa S.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
FC Osaka 95 / 100
Nagano Parceiro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
FC Osaka Nagano Parceiro
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick FC Osaka Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
FC Osaka has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
FC Osaka's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Nagano Parceiro let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
FC Osaka VS Nagano Parceiro
2 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
FC Osaka
(Home) 18 Sept
FC Osaka
4 : 1 Fukushima United
14 Sept
FC Osaka
2 : 1 Ehime
05 Sept
Matsumoto Yamaga
0 : 0 FC Osaka
02 Sept
FC Osaka
3 : 0 Kofu
30 Aug
Renofa Yamaguchi
0 : 0 FC Osaka
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
FC Osaka
4 : 1 Fukushima United
14 Sept
FC Osaka
2 : 1 Ehime
02 Sept
FC Osaka
3 : 0 Kofu
22 Aug
FC Osaka
2 : 2 Ryukyu
16 Aug
FC Osaka
4 : 2 Nagano Parceiro
Page 1 of 3
Nagano Parceiro
(Away) 20 Sept
Nagano Parceiro
1 : 0 Gifu
13 Sept
Nagano Parceiro
1 : 1 Tochigi SC
09 Sept
Nagano Parceiro
0 : 1 Mito
05 Sept
SC Sagamihara
1 : 1 Nagano Parceiro
30 Aug
Nagano Parceiro
1 : 2 Thespakusatsu Gunma
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
SC Sagamihara
1 : 1 Nagano Parceiro
26 Aug
FC Tokyo
6 : 0 Nagano Parceiro
22 Aug
Kumamoto
0 : 1 Nagano Parceiro
16 Aug
FC Osaka
4 : 2 Nagano Parceiro
05 Jun
Kamatamare Sanuki
0 : 1 Nagano Parceiro
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kagoshima United | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 15:7 | 19 |
| 2 | Ehime | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 18:8 | 16 |
| 3 | FC Osaka | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 13:7 | 13 |
| 4 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | 13 |
| 5 | Reilac Shiga | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 13:10 | 12 |
| 6 | SC Sagamihara | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12:8 | 11 |
| 7 | Nagano Parceiro | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 11 |
| 8 | Nara Club | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 14:15 | 11 |
| 9 | Gifu | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 15:5 | 10 |
| 10 | Kumamoto | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 6:4 | 10 |
| 11 | Ryukyu | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:9 | 10 |
| 12 | Gainare Tottori | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10:14 | 10 |
| 13 | Tochigi SC | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:12 | 9 |
| 14 | Kanazawa | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10:12 | 7 |
| 15 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9:15 | 6 |
| 16 | Thespakusatsu Gunma | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7:14 | 6 |
| 17 | Matsumoto Yamaga | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6:9 | 5 |
| 18 | Kochi United | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:14 | 5 |
| 19 | Fukushima United | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 12:17 | 4 |
| 20 | Kamatamare Sanuki | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7:13 | 4 |
Promotion - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J3 League (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - J3 League (Relegation)
