Sport Picks
FC Osaka vs Nagano Parceiro - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Japan
J3 League Hanazono Rugby Stadium, Higashiosaka 
Match Events
4'
4'
Haga A.
Assist: Fukui K.
20'
20'
Yoshizawa S.
Assist: Watanabe Z.
54'
54'
Yoshizawa S.
Assist: Fujikawa K.
AI Match Summary
FC Osaka in this J3 League matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Osaka.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Osaka
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- FC Osaka haven't matched Nagano Parceiro's recent run of results.
- Model gives FC Osaka a 36% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and FC Osaka have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
FC Osaka Clean Sheet 17%
Nagano Parceiro Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FC Osaka | Nagano Parceiro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 14 |
| Draws | 5 | 2 |
| Losses | 11 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.72 | 1.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.28 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 16, 2026 J3 League
FC Osaka vs Nagano Parceiro
4:2
Nov 10, 2025 J3 League
FC Osaka vs Nagano Parceiro
3:0
Jul 6, 2025 J3 League
Nagano Parceiro vs FC Osaka
0:0
Sep 7, 2024 J3 League
Nagano Parceiro vs FC Osaka
0:2
Feb 25, 2024 J3 League
FC Osaka vs Nagano Parceiro
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
FC Osaka Compare
Top Goalscorer Haga A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Shimada T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Nagano Parceiro Compare
Top Goalscorer Yoshizawa S.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
FC Osaka 36 / 100
Nagano Parceiro 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
FC Osaka Nagano Parceiro
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: FC Osaka scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.
Nagano Parceiro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Recent resilience: FC Osaka stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
FC Osaka VS Nagano Parceiro
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
FC Osaka
(Home) 04 Nov
FC Osaka
2 : 1 Kumamoto
31 Oct
Gifu
1 : 0 FC Osaka
24 Oct
FC Osaka
2 : 1 Kagoshima United
21 Oct
FC Osaka
2 : 0 Nara Club
17 Oct
Giravanz Kitakyushu
3 : 1 FC Osaka
Page 1 of 6
04 Nov
FC Osaka
2 : 1 Kumamoto
24 Oct
FC Osaka
2 : 1 Kagoshima United
21 Oct
FC Osaka
2 : 0 Nara Club
09 Oct
FC Osaka
1 : 1 Kanazawa
29 Sept
FC Osaka
1 : 2 Avispa Fukuoka
Page 1 of 3
Nagano Parceiro
(Away) 03 Nov
Kanazawa
0 : 2 Nagano Parceiro
31 Oct
Nagano Parceiro
3 : 1 Reilac Shiga
25 Oct
Giravanz Kitakyushu
3 : 1 Nagano Parceiro
21 Oct
Nagano Parceiro
0 : 1 Ryukyu
18 Oct
Nagano Parceiro
2 : 1 Matsumoto Yamaga
Page 1 of 6
03 Nov
Kanazawa
0 : 2 Nagano Parceiro
25 Oct
Giravanz Kitakyushu
3 : 1 Nagano Parceiro
10 Oct
Kochi United
1 : 3 Nagano Parceiro
26 Sept
Fukushima United
4 : 3 Nagano Parceiro
05 Sept
SC Sagamihara
1 : 1 Nagano Parceiro
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kagoshima United | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 29:18 | 31 |
| 2 | Nara Club | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 28:21 | 29 |
| 3 | Gifu | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 28:15 | 28 |
| 4 | SC Sagamihara | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 25:15 | 28 |
| 5 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 20:12 | 27 |
| 6 | FC Osaka | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 25:15 | 26 |
| 7 | Ehime | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 30:25 | 26 |
| 8 | Kumamoto | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 17:10 | 24 |
| 9 | Ryukyu | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 23:20 | 23 |
| 10 | Nagano Parceiro | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 22:20 | 23 |
| 11 | Kanazawa | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 27:21 | 20 |
| 12 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 21:23 | 19 |
| 13 | Tochigi SC | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 14:16 | 18 |
| 14 | Matsumoto Yamaga | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 15:17 | 17 |
| 15 | Reilac Shiga | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 19:27 | 17 |
| 16 | Fukushima United | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 27:32 | 15 |
| 17 | Gainare Tottori | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 15:29 | 15 |
| 18 | Thespakusatsu Gunma | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12:29 | 13 |
| 19 | Kamatamare Sanuki | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 16:27 | 11 |
| 20 | Kochi United | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10:31 | 9 |
Promotion - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J3 League (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - J3 League (Relegation)
