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FC OSS '20 vs Lienden

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2019/2020
Sun, May 24, 2020
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC OSS '20 host Lienden in the Derde Divisie 2019/2020. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. FC OSS '20 have averaged 1.69 scored and 1.94 conceded recently, against Lienden's 0.84 scored and 1.89 conceded. Head-to-head, FC OSS '20 have won 1 to Lienden's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on May 24, 2020, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.42 xG vs 0.94) point toward FC OSS '20. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
FC OSS '20
15%
Draws
49%
Lienden
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lienden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • FC OSS '20 have won more games recently than Lienden.
  • Model gives Lienden a 49% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Derde Divisie 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
FC OSS '20 Clean Sheet 20%
Lienden Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC OSS '20 Lienden
Matches Played 36 19
Wins 14 4
Draws 6 5
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 1.69 0.84
Goals Conceded 1.94 1.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2020 Derde Divisie
FC OSS '20 vs Lienden
0:0
Dec 8, 2019 Derde Divisie
Lienden vs FC OSS '20
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC OSS '20 10 / 100
Lienden 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC OSS '20 Lienden

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lienden Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC OSS '20's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 36 recent games.

Lienden let in goals in 84% of their last 19 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Difficult form: Lienden registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC OSS '20 VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

FC OSS '20

(Home)
25 May
GVV Unitas
1 : 3
FC OSS '20
18 May
FC OSS '20
3 : 4
Baronie
11 May
HSV Hoek
2 : 0
FC OSS '20
05 May
Gemert
5 : 1
FC OSS '20
21 Apr
FC OSS '20
1 : 5
OJC Rosmalen
Page 1 of 8

Lienden

(Away)
08 Mar
Lienden
1 : 0
HV & CV Quick
01 Mar
Groene Ster
3 : 1
Lienden
16 Feb
Lienden
0 : 3
OFC Oostzaan
02 Feb
Lienden
1 : 1
ADO 20 Heemskerk
21 Jan
Lienden
1 : 3
Jong Den Haag
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sparta Nijkerk 22 17 1 4 58:27 52
2 ODIN '59 22 15 2 5 63:30 47
3 Harkemase Boys 22 13 3 6 43:34 42
4 DVS '33 Ermelo 23 13 3 7 39:30 42
5 Lisse 23 11 5 7 44:33 38
6 HSV Hoek 23 10 4 9 54:42 34
7 Barendrecht 23 10 4 9 37:38 34
8 Excelsior 31 23 9 4 10 50:40 31
9 Jong Almere City 23 9 4 10 54:48 31
10 Ajax (Am) 22 9 4 9 31:38 31
11 GOES 23 9 4 10 33:44 31
12 VVSB 22 8 4 10 47:48 28
13 SteDoCo 22 7 7 8 41:42 28
14 Ter Leede 23 7 6 10 36:53 27
15 VV DOVO 23 6 4 13 45:55 22
16 ONS Sneek 23 2 6 15 32:72 12
17 VVOG 22 2 5 15 26:59 11
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2020/2021 (Main)
Promotion - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC OSS '20 22 16 5 1 55:24 53
2 Jong Den Haag 22 12 3 7 47:36 39
3 OFC Oostzaan 22 11 3 8 38:27 36
4 Gemert 22 10 5 7 42:42 35
5 Dongen 20 9 7 4 34:19 34
6 UNA 22 8 8 6 35:39 32
7 EVV 22 8 7 7 30:27 31
8 Blauw Geel 22 8 5 9 38:38 29
9 HSC '21 22 8 5 9 34:39 29
10 DEM 22 7 6 9 31:31 27
11 USV Hercules 21 8 3 10 35:38 27
12 Groene Ster 22 7 6 9 28:33 27
13 HV & CV Quick 21 7 5 9 29:26 26
14 Westlandia 22 6 6 10 31:40 24
15 ADO 20 Heemskerk 21 5 6 10 29:35 21
16 Lienden 21 4 6 11 17:39 18
17 Hoogland 22 3 8 11 31:51 17
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2020/2021 (Main)
Promotion - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Relegation)