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FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi vs Nyva Ternopil

Ukraine Ukraine

Persha Liga 2025/2026 Sport Complex Podillia, Khmelnytskyi
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Bidzinskyi B.
14'
Snizhko O.
23'
Shkinder V.

AI Match Summary

The Persha Liga 2025/2026 game between FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi and Nyva Ternopil finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nyva Ternopil.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
20%
Draws
29%
Nyva Ternopil
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi come out ahead of Nyva Ternopil on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Persha Liga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi Clean Sheet 68%
Nyva Ternopil Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi Nyva Ternopil
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 7 5
Draws 6 10
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Persha Liga
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi vs Nyva Ternopil
1:2
Feb 19, 2026 Club Friendly
Nyva Ternopil vs FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
1:0
Oct 24, 2025 Persha Liga
Nyva Ternopil vs FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
0:1
Nov 16, 2024 Persha Liga
Nyva Ternopil vs FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
2:1
Sep 21, 2024 Persha Liga
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi vs Nyva Ternopil
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi Compare

Top Goalscorer Perekhodko M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Nyva Ternopil Compare

Top Goalscorer Palamarchuk I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pezhynskyi M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi 77 / 100
Nyva Ternopil 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi Nyva Ternopil

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nyva Ternopil has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi VS Nyva Ternopil
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi

(Home)
20 Sept
Rukh Lviv
2 : 3
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
12 Sept
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
2 : 1
Skala 1911
05 Sept
Dnister Zalishchyky
3 : 2
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
29 Aug
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
1 : 1
Dinaz Vyshgorod
21 Aug
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
1 : 3
Victoria
Page 1 of 6

Nyva Ternopil

(Away)
13 Sept
Nyva Ternopil
1 : 2
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)
05 Sept
FC Chernihiv
1 : 0
Nyva Ternopil
30 Aug
Metalist Kharkiv
1 : 1
Nyva Ternopil
22 Aug
Nyva Ternopil
0 : 4
Bukovyna
16 Aug
Inhulets
1 : 2
Nyva Ternopil
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bukovyna 30 26 3 1 74:21 81
2 Ch. Odesa 30 19 8 3 44:20 65
3 Livyi Bereg 30 19 6 5 50:21 63
4 Ahrobiznes Volochysk 30 16 5 9 36:28 53
5 Inhulets 30 12 10 8 41:32 46
6 Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) 30 9 10 11 33:33 37
7 Metalist Kharkiv 30 10 7 13 31:35 37
8 Probiy Horodenka 30 10 6 14 29:37 36
9 Fenix Mariupol 30 9 9 12 31:32 36
10 Victoria 30 10 6 14 37:38 36
11 UCSA 30 10 6 14 30:40 36
12 Nyva Ternopil 30 8 10 12 24:34 34
13 FC Chernihiv 30 8 7 15 30:36 31
14 Vorskla Poltava 30 7 9 14 23:36 30
15 FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi 30 4 9 17 20:45 21
16 MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya 30 4 7 19 16:61 19
17 Minaj 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Druha Liga (Main)