Sport Picks
FC Porto B vs Chaves
Portugal
Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 Estadio Luis Filipe Menezes, Vila Nova de Gaia 
Match Events
16'
16'
Vonic L.
Assist: Sousa G.
26'
26'
Andrade T.
37'
37'
Gomes L.
AI Match Summary
FC Porto B in this Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Porto B.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chaves
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to FC Porto B lately — more wins on the board than Chaves.
- 51% — that's where the model lands on Chaves taking it.
- Regular Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
FC Porto B Clean Sheet 14%
Chaves Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FC Porto B | Chaves |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 12 |
| Draws | 6 | 1 |
| Losses | 11 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.33 | 1.28 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.43 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 6, 2026 Liga Portugal 2
FC Porto B vs Chaves
3:0
Nov 8, 2025 Liga Portugal 2
Chaves vs FC Porto B
0:1
Apr 19, 2025 Liga Portugal 2
FC Porto B vs Chaves
1:2
Dec 8, 2024 Liga Portugal 2
Chaves vs FC Porto B
2:1
Feb 20, 2022 Liga Portugal 2
FC Porto B vs Chaves
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
FC Porto B Compare
Top Goalscorer Vonic L.
2 Goals Assists Leader Mide M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Chaves Compare
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
FC Porto B 11 / 100
Chaves 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
FC Porto B Chaves
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Chaves Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
FC Porto B's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Chaves's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
FC Porto B went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
FC Porto B VS Chaves
1 Goals Scored 0.88
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
FC Porto B
(Home) 14 Sept
FC Porto B
2 : 2 Vizela
05 Sept
Tondela
3 : 0 FC Porto B
30 Aug
FC Porto B
0 : 3 Penafiel
24 Aug
Feirense
0 : 1 FC Porto B
16 Aug
FC Porto B
1 : 3 SC Farense
Page 1 of 6
14 Sept
FC Porto B
2 : 2 Vizela
30 Aug
FC Porto B
0 : 3 Penafiel
16 Aug
FC Porto B
1 : 3 SC Farense
25 Jul
FC Porto B
1 : 3 Academica
15 May
FC Porto B
2 : 0 Benfica B
Page 1 of 3
Chaves
(Away) 20 Sept
Guarda FC
2 : 3 Chaves
13 Sept
Chaves
1 : 0 Feirense
30 Aug
FC Felgueiras
2 : 1 Chaves
23 Aug
Chaves
2 : 2 AFS
15 Aug
Sporting CP B
1 : 0 Chaves
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Guarda FC
2 : 3 Chaves
30 Aug
FC Felgueiras
2 : 1 Chaves
15 Aug
Sporting CP B
1 : 0 Chaves
02 Aug
Academico Viseu
1 : 0 Chaves
01 Aug
Vitoria Guimaraes
2 : 0 Chaves
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maritimo | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 50:29 | 66 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 58:33 | 59 |
| 3 | Torreense | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 46:33 | 59 |
| 4 | Vizela | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 39:40 | 51 |
| 5 | FC Porto B | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 41:42 | 51 |
| 6 | Leiria | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52:46 | 50 |
| 7 | Leixoes | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 46:55 | 50 |
| 8 | Feirense | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 37:40 | 46 |
| 9 | Chaves | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 42:40 | 45 |
| 10 | Benfica B | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 43:44 | 44 |
| 11 | FC Felgueiras | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 34:38 | 44 |
| 12 | Lusitania FC | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 44:52 | 43 |
| 13 | Sporting CP B | 34 | 13 | 3 | 18 | 41:34 | 42 |
| 14 | Penafiel | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 37:39 | 41 |
| 15 | Portimonense | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 39:49 | 40 |
| 16 | SC Farense | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 31:37 | 40 |
| 17 | Pacos Ferreira | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 34:48 | 39 |
| 18 | Oliveirense | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34:49 | 34 |
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Liga Portugal (Main)
Promotion - Liga Portugal 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 (Main)
