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FC Porto B vs Leiria - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Liga Portugal 2 Estadio Luis Filipe Menezes, Vila Nova de Gaia
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Porto B host Leiria in the Liga Portugal 2. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: FC Porto B at 1.24 goals for, 1.41 against; Leiria at 1.75 for, 1.36 against. Past meetings favor Leiria slightly — 0-1-4 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 15, 2026, ending 2:2. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 1.94) point toward Leiria. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
FC Porto B
20%
Draws
61%
Leiria
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Leiria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Leiria average 1.75 goals a game right now, well clear of FC Porto B's 1.24.
  • 61% — that's where the model lands on Leiria taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
FC Porto B Clean Sheet 10%
Leiria Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Porto B Leiria
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 12
Draws 6 7
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.24 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Liga Portugal 2
Leiria vs FC Porto B
2:2
Sep 14, 2025 Liga Portugal 2
FC Porto B vs Leiria
1:2
Feb 9, 2025 Liga Portugal 2
Leiria vs FC Porto B
0:0
Sep 1, 2024 Liga Portugal 2
FC Porto B vs Leiria
1:1
Feb 3, 2024 Liga Portugal 2
Leiria vs FC Porto B
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Porto B 10 / 100
Leiria 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Porto B Leiria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leiria Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Porto B's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Leiria's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Solid form: FC Porto B remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Porto B VS Leiria
1 Goals Scored 1.5
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Porto B

(Home)
14 Sept
FC Porto B
2 : 2
Vizela
05 Sept
Tondela
3 : 0
FC Porto B
30 Aug
FC Porto B
0 : 3
Penafiel
24 Aug
Feirense
0 : 1
FC Porto B
16 Aug
FC Porto B
1 : 3
SC Farense
Page 1 of 6

Leiria

(Away)
19 Sept
O Elvas CAD
0 : 2
Leiria
13 Sept
Amarante FC
2 : 2
Leiria
06 Sept
Leiria
1 : 0
Portimonense
28 Aug
Leiria
2 : 0
Tondela
22 Aug
Leixoes
2 : 4
Leiria
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lusitania FC 6 5 1 0 11:4 16
2 Sporting CP B 7 5 0 2 10:6 15
3 Penafiel 7 4 1 2 14:7 13
4 Tondela 7 4 0 3 8:6 12
5 SC Farense 6 3 2 1 11:5 11
6 Vizela 7 3 2 2 7:6 11
7 Benfica B 6 3 1 2 7:5 10
8 Leiria 6 3 1 2 10:7 10
9 Leixoes 7 3 1 3 9:8 10
10 Portimonense 7 3 1 3 6:7 10
11 AFS 7 2 3 2 8:7 9
12 Academica 6 3 0 3 8:10 9
13 FC Porto B 7 2 1 4 6:14 7
14 FC Felgueiras 6 1 3 2 5:6 6
15 Torreense 7 1 3 3 7:10 6
16 Amarante FC 7 1 2 4 6:10 5
17 Chaves 6 1 1 4 5:13 4
18 Feirense 6 0 1 5 1:8 1
Promotion - Liga Portugal 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 2027/2028 (Main)