Sport Picks
FC Porto B vs Penafiel
Portugal
Liga Portugal 2 Estadio Luis Filipe Menezes, Vila Nova de Gaia 
Match Events
5'
5'
Svensson M.
Assist: Negrao G.
16'
16'
Rodrigues D.
35'
35'
Pinto J.
Assist: Alvarez D.
AI Match Summary
Penafiel in this Liga Portugal 2 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Penafiel.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
18%
15%
67%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Penafiel
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
67%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to FC Porto B lately — more wins on the board than Penafiel.
- Model gives Penafiel a 67% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
FC Porto B Clean Sheet 17%
Penafiel Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FC Porto B | Penafiel |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 13 | 11 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.33 | 1.19 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.43 | 1.32 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 30, 2026 Liga Portugal 2
FC Porto B vs Penafiel
0:3
Apr 26, 2026 Liga Portugal 2
Penafiel vs FC Porto B
3:0
Dec 12, 2025 Liga Portugal 2
FC Porto B vs Penafiel
1:0
Feb 16, 2025 Liga Portugal 2
FC Porto B vs Penafiel
3:2
Sep 15, 2024 Liga Portugal 2
Penafiel vs FC Porto B
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
FC Porto B Compare
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Penafiel Compare
Top Goalscorer Svensson M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Pinto J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
FC Porto B 15 / 100
Penafiel 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
FC Porto B Penafiel
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Penafiel Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
FC Porto B found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).
Defensive concern: Penafiel conceded in 71% of 31 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
FC Porto B went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
FC Porto B VS Penafiel
1 Goals Scored 0.38
2.38 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
FC Porto B
(Home) 14 Sept
FC Porto B
2 : 2 Vizela
05 Sept
Tondela
3 : 0 FC Porto B
30 Aug
FC Porto B
0 : 3 Penafiel
24 Aug
Feirense
0 : 1 FC Porto B
16 Aug
FC Porto B
1 : 3 SC Farense
Page 1 of 6
14 Sept
FC Porto B
2 : 2 Vizela
30 Aug
FC Porto B
0 : 3 Penafiel
16 Aug
FC Porto B
1 : 3 SC Farense
25 Jul
FC Porto B
1 : 3 Academica
15 May
FC Porto B
2 : 0 Benfica B
Page 1 of 3
Penafiel
(Away) 19 Sept
Oliveirense
1 : 2 Penafiel
12 Sept
FC Felgueiras
1 : 2 Penafiel
05 Sept
Penafiel
4 : 1 Academica
30 Aug
FC Porto B
0 : 3 Penafiel
23 Aug
Penafiel
2 : 0 Sporting CP B
Page 1 of 7
19 Sept
Oliveirense
1 : 2 Penafiel
12 Sept
FC Felgueiras
1 : 2 Penafiel
30 Aug
FC Porto B
0 : 3 Penafiel
15 Aug
Torreense
2 : 2 Penafiel
18 Jul
Famalicao
0 : 0 Penafiel
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lusitania FC | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11:4 | 16 |
| 2 | Penafiel | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13:5 | 13 |
| 3 | Sporting CP B | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8:6 | 12 |
| 4 | Vizela | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:4 | 11 |
| 5 | Benfica B | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:5 | 10 |
| 6 | Leiria | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:7 | 10 |
| 7 | Leixoes | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 10 |
| 8 | Academica | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8:10 | 9 |
| 9 | Tondela | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7:6 | 9 |
| 10 | SC Farense | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:5 | 8 |
| 11 | Portimonense | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:6 | 7 |
| 12 | AFS | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:6 | 6 |
| 13 | FC Felgueiras | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 14 | Torreense | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7:9 | 6 |
| 15 | Amarante FC | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:8 | 5 |
| 16 | Chaves | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:9 | 4 |
| 17 | FC Porto B | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:13 | 4 |
| 18 | Feirense | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1:8 | 1 |
Promotion - Liga Portugal 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 2027/2028 (Main)
