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FC Porto U19 vs Gil Vicente U19 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional U19
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Porto U19 host Gil Vicente U19 in the Campeonato Nacional U19. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. FC Porto U19 have averaged 2.61 scored and 1.19 conceded recently, against Gil Vicente U19's 0.86 scored and 1.72 conceded. Past meetings favor FC Porto U19 slightly — 5-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 17, 2026, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 1.88 vs 0.88, favoring FC Porto U19. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
FC Porto U19
30%
Draws
31%
Gil Vicente U19
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: FC Porto U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • FC Porto U19 have won more games recently than Gil Vicente U19.
  • Model gives FC Porto U19 a 39% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • FC Porto U19 have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
FC Porto U19 Clean Sheet 20%
Gil Vicente U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Porto U19 Gil Vicente U19
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 22 8
Draws 5 6
Losses 4 15
Goals Scored 2.61 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
FC Porto U19 vs Gil Vicente U19
3:0
Feb 7, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Gil Vicente U19 vs FC Porto U19
1:2
Jan 11, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Gil Vicente U19 vs FC Porto U19
0:1
Oct 3, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
FC Porto U19 vs Gil Vicente U19
3:0
Apr 19, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
FC Porto U19 vs Gil Vicente U19
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Porto U19 49 / 100
Gil Vicente U19 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Porto U19 Gil Vicente U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Porto U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FC Porto U19 scored in 87% of their last 31 outings.

Defensive concern: Gil Vicente U19 conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: FC Porto U19 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Porto U19 VS Gil Vicente U19
2.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 13%
75% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Porto U19

(Home)
19 Sept
FC Porto U19
0 : 0
Rio Ave U19
12 Sept
FC Porto U19
4 : 0
Famalicao U19
08 Sept
FC Porto U19
3 : 1
Manchester City U19
05 Sept
Vitoria Guimaraes U19
1 : 0
FC Porto U19
29 Aug
Vizela U19
2 : 5
FC Porto U19
Page 1 of 7

Gil Vicente U19

(Away)
19 Sept
Moreirense U19
1 : 1
Gil Vicente U19
12 Sept
Gil Vicente U19
2 : 0
Vizela U19
05 Sept
Feirense U19
1 : 0
Gil Vicente U19
29 Aug
Braga U19
0 : 0
Gil Vicente U19
22 Aug
Gil Vicente U19
1 : 0
Academico Viseu U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Porto U19 6 4 1 1 13:4 13
2 Gil Vicente U19 6 3 2 1 5:2 11
3 Braga U19 6 3 1 2 7:5 10
4 Vitoria Guimaraes U19 7 3 1 3 7:9 10
5 Feirense U19 6 3 1 2 5:5 10
6 Rio Ave U19 6 2 2 2 5:4 8
7 Famalicao U19 7 2 2 3 8:11 8
8 Academico Viseu U19 6 2 1 3 9:6 7
9 Moreirense U19 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
10 Vizela U19 6 1 0 5 6:17 3
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional U19 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting CP U19 6 5 1 0 11:3 16
2 Benfica U19 6 4 2 0 16:5 14
3 Oriental U19 6 3 2 1 7:5 11
4 Santa Clara U19 6 3 1 2 13:7 10
5 Mafra U19 6 2 2 2 6:12 8
6 Torreense U19 6 2 1 3 9:9 7
7 Casa Pia U19 6 1 2 3 5:7 5
8 SC Farense U19 6 1 1 4 6:12 4
9 Alverca U19 6 0 3 3 7:12 3
10 Leiria U19 6 0 3 3 5:13 3
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional U19 (Relegation Group)