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FC Porto vs Estoril - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Liga Portugal Estádio do Dragão, Porto
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
08:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Porto host Estoril in the Liga Portugal. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: FC Porto at 1.74 goals for, 0.76 against; Estoril at 1.17 for, 1.48 against. Head-to-head, FC Porto have won 4 to Estoril's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 12, 2026, ending 1:3. Model xG sits at 1.88 vs 0.56, favoring FC Porto. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

78%
FC Porto
15%
Draws
7%
Estoril
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Porto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FC Porto come out ahead of Estoril on wins alone.
  • 78% — that's where the model lands on FC Porto taking it.
  • Regular Liga Portugal form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • FC Porto have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
FC Porto Clean Sheet 20%
Estoril Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Porto Estoril
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 24 6
Draws 4 8
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 1.74 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.76 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Liga Portugal
Estoril vs FC Porto
1:3
Nov 30, 2025 Liga Portugal
FC Porto vs Estoril
1:0
Mar 30, 2025 Liga Portugal
Estoril vs FC Porto
1:2
Nov 3, 2024 Liga Portugal
FC Porto vs Estoril
4:0
Mar 30, 2024 Liga Portugal
Estoril vs FC Porto
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Porto 85 / 100
Estoril 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Porto Estoril

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Porto Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FC Porto scored in 85% of their last 34 outings.

Estoril let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Recent resilience: FC Porto stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Porto VS Estoril
2.25 Goals Scored 0.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Porto

(Home)
10 Oct
Maritimo
1 : 2
FC Porto
02 Oct
Dep. A Coruna
1 : 3
FC Porto
20 Sept
FC Porto
3 : 1
Benfica
12 Sept
Casa Pia
1 : 4
FC Porto
08 Sept
FC Porto
0 : 2
Manchester City
Page 1 of 7

Estoril

(Away)
10 Oct
Academico Viseu
2 : 1
Estoril
20 Sept
Estoril
1 : 2
Casa Pia
14 Sept
Braga
1 : 0
Estoril
07 Sept
Estoril
0 : 0
Arouca
31 Aug
Benfica
2 : 1
Estoril
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Porto 8 8 0 0 20:4 24
2 Sporting CP 8 5 3 0 20:9 18
3 Santa Clara 8 5 3 0 12:4 18
4 Benfica 7 5 1 1 22:7 16
5 Academico Viseu 8 4 2 2 11:10 14
6 Arouca 7 3 2 2 10:7 11
7 Gil Vicente 7 3 2 2 6:5 11
8 Braga 7 3 2 2 8:8 11
9 Estrela da Amadora 7 2 4 1 14:14 10
10 Alverca 7 2 2 3 9:11 8
11 Maritimo 8 2 2 4 9:14 8
12 Moreirense 8 2 2 4 8:15 8
13 Famalicao 7 1 4 2 9:7 7
14 Vitoria Guimaraes 7 1 2 4 5:8 5
15 Nacional 7 1 1 5 7:15 4
16 Rio Ave 7 1 1 5 5:15 4
17 Casa Pia 8 1 1 6 3:17 4
18 Estoril 8 0 2 6 4:12 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 2027/2028 (Main)