Sport Picks
Match Events
1'
1'
Vergara A.
11'
11'
Bednarek J.
Assist: Veiga G.
21'
21'
Anguissa F.
AI Match Summary
The Champions League game between FC Porto and Napoli finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Porto.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
54%
15%
31%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Porto
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
54%
/ Medium Confidence
- FC Porto carry the better recent record into this one.
- FC Porto are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
FC Porto Clean Sheet 16%
Napoli Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FC Porto | Napoli |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 20 | 14 |
| Draws | 3 | 5 |
| Losses | 6 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.76 | 1.72 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.79 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 4, 2026 Champions League
FC Porto vs Napoli
4:1
Aug 8, 2015 Club Friendly
FC Porto vs Napoli
0:0
Mar 20, 2014 Europa League
Napoli vs FC Porto
2:2
Mar 13, 2014 Europa League
FC Porto vs Napoli
1:0
Aug 4, 2013 Emirates Cup
Napoli vs FC Porto
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
FC Porto Compare
Top Goalscorer Bednarek J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Veiga G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Napoli Compare
Top Goalscorer McTominay S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
FC Porto 84 / 100
Napoli 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
FC Porto Napoli
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick FC Porto Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
FC Porto's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Napoli has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Solid form: FC Porto remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
FC Porto VS Napoli
2 Goals Scored 2.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
FC Porto
(Home) 04 Nov
FC Porto
4 : 1 Napoli
31 Oct
FC Porto
4 : 0 Estoril
28 Oct
FC Porto
1 : 0 Academico Viseu
24 Oct
Gil Vicente
0 : 1 FC Porto
20 Oct
FC Porto
0 : 1 PSV
Page 1 of 6
04 Nov
FC Porto
4 : 1 Napoli
31 Oct
FC Porto
4 : 0 Estoril
28 Oct
FC Porto
1 : 0 Academico Viseu
20 Oct
FC Porto
0 : 1 PSV
20 Sept
FC Porto
3 : 1 Benfica
Page 1 of 4
Napoli
(Away) 04 Nov
FC Porto
4 : 1 Napoli
01 Nov
Juventus
2 : 0 Napoli
28 Oct
Monza
1 : 4 Napoli
24 Oct
Napoli
3 : 3 AS Roma
20 Oct
Napoli
4 : 3 Bodo/Glimt
Page 1 of 6
04 Nov
FC Porto
4 : 1 Napoli
01 Nov
Juventus
2 : 0 Napoli
28 Oct
Monza
1 : 4 Napoli
17 Oct
Venezia
1 : 0 Napoli
13 Oct
Villarreal
3 : 1 Napoli
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSG | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 20:5 | 12 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13:7 | 12 |
| 3 | Arsenal | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8:3 | 10 |
| 4 | Como | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 19:6 | 9 |
| 5 | Barcelona | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14:6 | 9 |
| 6 | Aston Villa | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12:6 | 9 |
| 7 | Manchester City | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12:7 | 9 |
| 8 | Liverpool | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14:10 | 9 |
| 9 | Club Brugge | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11:7 | 9 |
| 10 | Sporting CP | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 9 |
| 11 | Betis | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:6 | 9 |
| 12 | Dortmund | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:5 | 9 |
| 13 | Bayern Munich | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 12:5 | 8 |
| 14 | VfB Stuttgart | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:4 | 7 |
| 15 | Inter | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:6 | 6 |
| 16 | LASK Linz | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10:9 | 6 |
| 17 | Manchester United | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 6 |
| 18 | Galatasaray | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:9 | 6 |
| 19 | Fenerbahce | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:11 | 5 |
| 20 | AS Roma | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10:8 | 4 |
| 21 | Shakhtar | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 4 |
| 22 | Viking | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9:10 | 4 |
| 23 | Atl. Madrid | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | 4 |
| 24 | PSV | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 25 | Bodo/Glimt | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:9 | 4 |
| 26 | FC Porto | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:7 | 3 |
| 27 | Napoli | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:11 | 3 |
| 28 | Villarreal | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8:14 | 3 |
| 29 | AEK | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:11 | 3 |
| 30 | RB Leipzig | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:11 | 3 |
| 31 | Sabah FC | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:10 | 3 |
| 32 | Feyenoord | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:11 | 3 |
| 33 | Lens | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:16 | 3 |
| 34 | Slavia Prague | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5:9 | 1 |
| 35 | Lille | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4:10 | 1 |
| 36 | Slovan Bratislava | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:17 | 0 |
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)
