Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Porto vs Nice

Europe Europe

Europa League 2025/2026 Estádio do Dragão, Porto
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Veiga G.
Assist: Pepê
33' Event
Veiga G.
Assist: Froholdt V.
46'
Sub
Varela A. In: Bednarek J.
Out: Varela A.

AI Match Summary

The Europa League 2025/2026 game between FC Porto and Nice finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Porto.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
FC Porto
30%
Draws
14%
Nice
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: FC Porto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Nice haven't matched FC Porto's recent run of results.
  • FC Porto are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Europa League 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
FC Porto Clean Sheet 20%
Nice Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Porto Nice
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 20 7
Draws 4 11
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 1.62 1
Goals Conceded 0.72 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 27, 2025 Europa League
FC Porto vs Nice
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Porto Compare

Top Goalscorer Veiga G.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Nice Compare

Avg xG / game 0.4
Avg xA / game 0.24

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Porto 85 / 100
Nice 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Porto Nice

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Porto Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Porto found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Nice has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

FC Porto went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Porto VS Nice
1.75 Goals Scored 0.5
0.38 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Porto

(Home)
12 Sept
Casa Pia
1 : 4
FC Porto
08 Sept
FC Porto
0 : 2
Manchester City
04 Sept
FC Porto
2 : 1
Moreirense
29 Aug
Academico Viseu
0 : 3
FC Porto
23 Aug
FC Porto
2 : 0
Arouca
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Nice

(Away)
12 Sept
Auxerre
1 : 0
Nice
05 Sept
Nice
1 : 1
Le Mans
30 Aug
Paris FC
3 : 0
Nice
22 Aug
Nice
0 : 0
Lorient
15 Aug
Hull City
0 : 0
Nice
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lyon 8 7 0 1 18:5 21
2 Aston Villa 8 7 0 1 14:6 21
3 Midtjylland 8 6 1 1 18:8 19
4 Betis 8 5 2 1 13:7 17
5 FC Porto 8 5 2 1 13:7 17
6 Braga 8 5 2 1 11:5 17
7 Freiburg 8 5 2 1 10:4 17
8 AS Roma 8 5 1 2 13:6 16
9 Genk 8 5 1 2 11:7 16
10 Bologna 8 4 3 1 14:7 15
11 VfB Stuttgart 8 5 0 3 15:9 15
12 Ferencvaros 8 4 3 1 12:11 15
13 Nottingham 8 4 2 2 15:7 14
14 Plzen 8 3 5 0 8:3 14
15 Crvena zvezda 8 4 2 2 7:6 14
16 Celta Vigo 8 4 1 3 15:11 13
17 PAOK 8 3 3 2 17:14 12
18 Lille 8 4 0 4 12:9 12
19 Fenerbahce 8 3 3 2 10:7 12
20 Panathinaikos 8 3 3 2 11:9 12
21 Celtic 8 3 2 3 13:15 11
22 Ludogorets 8 3 1 4 12:15 10
23 Din. Zagreb 8 3 1 4 12:16 10
24 Brann 8 2 3 3 9:11 9
25 Young Boys 8 3 0 5 10:16 9
26 Sturm Graz 8 2 1 5 5:11 7
27 FCSB 8 2 1 5 9:16 7
28 G.A. Eagles 8 2 1 5 6:14 7
29 Feyenoord 8 2 0 6 11:15 6
30 Basel 8 2 0 6 9:13 6
31 Salzburg 8 2 0 6 10:15 6
32 Rangers 8 1 1 6 5:14 4
33 Nice 8 1 0 7 7:15 3
34 Utrecht 8 0 1 7 5:15 1
35 Malmo FF 8 0 1 7 4:15 1
36 Maccabi Tel Aviv 8 0 1 7 2:22 1
Promotion - Europa League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Europa League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)