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FC Porto vs Torreense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Super Cup Estadio EFAPEL Cidade de Coimbra, Coimbra
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
David Bruno
18'
Quintero L.
38' Event
Froholdt V.
Assist: Pepê

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
FC Porto
15%
Draws
37%
Torreense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Porto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FC Porto come out ahead of Torreense on wins alone.
  • Model gives FC Porto a 48% chance of winning this.
  • FC Porto have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor FC Porto, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
FC Porto Clean Sheet 20%
Torreense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Porto Torreense
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 19 12
Draws 3 8
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1.71 1.36
Goals Conceded 0.82 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Super Cup
FC Porto vs Torreense
1:0
Feb 15, 1999 Taça de Portugal
FC Porto vs Torreense
0:1
Feb 2, 1992 Liga Portugal
Torreense vs FC Porto
0:0
Sep 1, 1991 Liga Portugal
FC Porto vs Torreense
5:0
Mar 28, 1965 Liga Portugal
Torreense vs FC Porto
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Porto Compare

Top Goalscorer Froholdt V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Torreense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Porto 40 / 100
Torreense 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Porto Torreense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Porto Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 6:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Porto's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

FC Porto went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Torreense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Porto VS Torreense
2.38 Goals Scored 0.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Porto

(Home)
20 Oct
FC Porto
0 : 1
PSV
14 Oct
Betis
3 : 2
FC Porto
10 Oct
Maritimo
1 : 2
FC Porto
02 Oct
Dep. A Coruna
1 : 3
FC Porto
20 Sept
FC Porto
3 : 1
Benfica
Page 1 of 6

Torreense

(Away)
15 Oct
Torreense
1 : 2
Sunderland
10 Oct
Tondela
1 : 0
Torreense
17 Sept
Lillestrom
1 : 2
Torreense
11 Sept
Torreense
0 : 0
Leixoes
05 Sept
Benfica B
0 : 2
Torreense
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
FC Porto 1
Torreense 0