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FC Porto W vs Vitoria Guimaraes W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Liga BPI Women Estadio Luis Filipe Menezes, Vila Nova de Gaia
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Porto W host Vitoria Guimaraes W in the Liga BPI Women. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. FC Porto W have averaged 1.42 scored and 1.33 conceded recently, against Vitoria Guimaraes W's 1.07 scored and 1.29 conceded. Head-to-head, FC Porto W have won 1 to Vitoria Guimaraes W's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 18, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.13 - 0.94) back FC Porto W to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
FC Porto W
35%
Draws
13%
Vitoria Guimaraes W
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: FC Porto W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Vitoria Guimaraes W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on FC Porto W taking it.
  • Regular Liga BPI Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
FC Porto W Clean Sheet 20%
Vitoria Guimaraes W Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Porto W Vitoria Guimaraes W
Matches Played 12 28
Wins 6 7
Draws 3 11
Losses 3 10
Goals Scored 1.42 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2026 Taça de Portugal Women
FC Porto W vs Vitoria Guimaraes W
1:0
Feb 4, 2026 Taça de Portugal Women
Vitoria Guimaraes W vs FC Porto W
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Porto W 85 / 100
Vitoria Guimaraes W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Porto W Vitoria Guimaraes W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Porto W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Porto W found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (12 games).

Vitoria Guimaraes W has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

FC Porto W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Porto W VS Vitoria Guimaraes W
1 Goals Scored 0.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Porto W

(Home)
04 Oct
Racing Power W
1 : 2
FC Porto W
27 Sept
FC Porto W
0 : 0
Racing Power W
21 Sept
FC Porto W
1 : 1
Braga W
12 Sept
Valadares Gaia W
1 : 3
FC Porto W
06 Sept
SL Benfica W
5 : 1
FC Porto W
Page 1 of 3

Vitoria Guimaraes W

(Away)
03 Oct
Valadares Gaia W
1 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes W
19 Sept
Vitoria Guimaraes W
0 : 3
Torreense W
12 Sept
Sporting W
2 : 0
Vitoria Guimaraes W
10 May
Braga W
2 : 0
Vitoria Guimaraes W
02 May
Vitoria Guimaraes W
0 : 0
Torreense W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Torreense W 3 3 0 0 14:0 9
2 Sporting W 3 2 1 0 7:0 7
3 SL Benfica W 2 2 0 0 5:0 6
4 Braga W 3 1 2 0 6:1 5
5 FC Porto W 3 1 2 0 4:2 5
6 Racing Power W 3 1 1 1 1:3 4
7 Valadares Gaia W 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
8 Vitoria Guimaraes W 2 0 0 2 0:5 0
9 Rio Ave W 3 0 0 3 0:6 0
10 Maritimo W 3 0 0 3 0:18 0
Relegation - Liga BPI Women (Relegation Group)