Sport Picks

Brazil

Paulista A4 2011

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

FC Primeira Camisa host Independente SP in the Paulista A4 2011. Little to choose between these two on current form. FC Primeira Camisa have averaged 0 scored and 0 conceded recently, against Independente SP's 1.13 scored and 1.38 conceded. Past meetings favor FC Primeira Camisa slightly — 1-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 23, 2011, ending 4:0. xG projections (1.29 - 1.11) back Independente SP to edge this. Independente SP in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

FC Primeira Camisa

Draws

90%

Independente SP

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Independente SP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Independente SP has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to FC Primeira Camisa.
Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Independente SP.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Paulista A4 2011 provide steady trend data.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

FC Primeira Camisa Clean Sheet 20%

Independente SP Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	FC Primeira Camisa	Independente SP
Matches Played	30	34
Wins	11	18
Draws	12	5
Losses	7	11
Goals Scored	0	1.13
Goals Conceded	0	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 23, 2011 Paulista A4

Independente SP vs FC Primeira Camisa

Possession: 46% - 45% Cards: 0 - 4

4:0

Oct 2, 2011 Paulista A4

FC Primeira Camisa vs Independente SP

Possession: 52% - 50% Cards: 2 - 3

2:0

Aug 24, 2011 Paulista A4

FC Primeira Camisa vs Independente SP

Possession: 58% - 44% Cards: 3 - 2

2:2

Aug 9, 2011 Paulista A4

Independente SP vs FC Primeira Camisa

Possession: 41% - 50% Cards: 3 - 2

0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Primeira Camisa 10 / 100

Independente SP 83 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

FC Primeira Camisa Independente SP

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IND Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Primeira Camisa scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Independente SP let in goals in 68% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

FC Primeira Camisa went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Independente SP lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Independente SP

0 Goals Scored 1.13

0 Goals Conceded 1.38

0% Over 1.5 75%

0% Over 2.5 38%

0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Capivariano	6	3	2	1	12:6	11
2	Barretos EC	6	3	1	2	14:11	10
3	Portuguesa Santista	6	2	2	2	7:6	8
4	Olimpia FC	6	0	3	3	4:14	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Independente SP	6	3	1	2	12:7	10
2	Guacuano	6	3	1	2	10:6	10
3	Votuporanguense	6	2	1	3	9:13	7
4	FC Primeira Camisa	6	2	1	3	3:8	7