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FC Primeira Camisa vs Independente SP

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4 2011
FC Primeira Camisa Logo

FC Primeira Camisa

2 - 2
FT
Independente SP Logo

Independente SP

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Paulista A4 2011 game between FC Primeira Camisa and Independente SP finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
FC Primeira Camisa
15%
Draws
59%
Independente SP
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Independente SP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Independente SP carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Independente SP are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
FC Primeira Camisa Clean Sheet 14%
Independente SP Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Primeira Camisa Independente SP
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 11 21
Draws 12 4
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.47 2.29
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.61
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 23, 2011 Paulista A4
Independente SP vs FC Primeira Camisa
4:0
Oct 2, 2011 Paulista A4
FC Primeira Camisa vs Independente SP
2:0
Aug 24, 2011 Paulista A4
FC Primeira Camisa vs Independente SP
2:2
Aug 9, 2011 Paulista A4
Independente SP vs FC Primeira Camisa
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Primeira Camisa 11 / 100
Independente SP 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Primeira Camisa Independente SP

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Independente SP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Primeira Camisa scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Independente SP let in goals in 65% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Solid form: FC Primeira Camisa remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Independente SP
0 Goals Scored 2.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Primeira Camisa

(Home)
23 Oct
Independente SP
4 : 0
FC Primeira Camisa
19 Oct
FC Primeira Camisa
1 : 0
Guacuano
16 Oct
FC Primeira Camisa
0 : 1
Votuporanguense
09 Oct
Votuporanguense
0 : 0
FC Primeira Camisa
05 Oct
Guacuano
3 : 0
FC Primeira Camisa
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Independente SP

(Away)
16 Aug
Independente SP
4 : 1
America SP
09 Aug
America SP
2 : 0
Independente SP
02 Aug
Independente SP
2 : 0
Flamengo SP
25 Jul
Flamengo SP
1 : 0
Independente SP
19 Jul
Independente SP
2 : 1
Paulinense
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Capivariano 6 5 1 0 13:4 16
2 Guacuano 6 3 1 2 11:6 10
3 Bandeirante 6 2 0 4 6:12 6
4 Guariba 6 1 0 5 7:15 3
Promotion - Paulista A4 2011 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barretos EC 6 4 0 2 8:3 12
2 ECUS SP 6 4 0 2 7:5 12
3 Palmeirinha SP 6 2 0 4 5:6 6
4 Cotia 6 2 0 4 7:13 6
Promotion - Paulista A4 2011 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independente SP 6 2 4 0 11:5 10
2 FC Primeira Camisa 6 2 3 1 9:7 9
3 Guaruja 6 2 1 3 9:14 7
4 Sumare 6 0 4 2 6:9 4
Promotion - Paulista A4 2011 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desportivo 6 3 1 2 9:6 10
2 Jacarei (Inactive) 6 3 1 2 14:11 10
3 EC Sao Bernardo 6 2 1 3 7:11 7
4 Tupa 6 2 1 3 8:10 7
Promotion - Paulista A4 2011 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fernandopolis 6 4 2 0 11:1 14
2 Olimpia FC 6 2 3 1 6:6 9
3 Sao Vicente 6 1 3 2 7:8 6
4 Guarulhos 6 0 2 4 4:13 2
Promotion - Paulista A4 2011 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portuguesa Santista 6 3 2 1 9:7 11
2 Votuporanguense 6 3 1 2 11:6 10
3 Brasilis 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
4 Ole Brasil 6 1 1 4 5:12 4
Promotion - Paulista A4 2011 (Third stage)