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FC Pucioasa vs Progresul Mogosoaia

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 4 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 - Seria 4 2025/2026 game between FC Pucioasa and Progresul Mogosoaia finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Pucioasa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
FC Pucioasa
30%
Draws
54%
Progresul Mogosoaia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Progresul Mogosoaia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Progresul Mogosoaia come out ahead of FC Pucioasa on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on FC Pucioasa taking it.
  • Regular Liga 3 - Seria 4 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and FC Pucioasa have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
FC Pucioasa Clean Sheet 10%
Progresul Mogosoaia Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Pucioasa Progresul Mogosoaia
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 13
Draws 4 2
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 1.31 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2026 Liga 3 - Seria 4
FC Pucioasa vs Progresul Mogosoaia
3:0
Nov 30, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 4
Progresul Mogosoaia vs FC Pucioasa
3:2
Sep 20, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 4
FC Pucioasa vs Progresul Mogosoaia
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Pucioasa 34 / 100
Progresul Mogosoaia 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Pucioasa Progresul Mogosoaia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.67 goals.

Attacking prowess: FC Pucioasa scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Progresul Mogosoaia let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

FC Pucioasa went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Pucioasa VS Progresul Mogosoaia
0.75 Goals Scored 2.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Pucioasa

(Home)
22 Sept
FC Pucioasa
0 : 1
Flacara Moreni
19 Sept
AS Vointa Crevedia
2 : 2
FC Pucioasa
12 Sept
FC Pucioasa
1 : 1
Blejoi
05 Sept
Progresul Draganesti
1 : 0
FC Pucioasa
29 Aug
FC Pucioasa
0 : 1
Viitorul Corbeanca
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Progresul Mogosoaia

(Away)
23 Sept
Omega Sport
1 : 0
Progresul Mogosoaia
19 Sept
Progresul Mogosoaia
0 : 3
Din. Bucuresti 2
12 Sept
Progresul Spartac
1 : 2
Progresul Mogosoaia
04 Sept
Progresul Mogosoaia
1 : 0
Voluntari 2
28 Aug
CSM Alexandria
2 : 2
Progresul Mogosoaia
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