Sport Picks
FC Puente Tocinos vs Lorca Deportiva
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 13 2009/2010 
AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 13 2009/2010 game between FC Puente Tocinos and Lorca Deportiva finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: FC Puente Tocinos
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Lorca Deportiva carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
FC Puente Tocinos Clean Sheet 20%
Lorca Deportiva Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FC Puente Tocinos | Lorca Deportiva |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 40 |
| Wins | 9 | 15 |
| Draws | 5 | 8 |
| Losses | 19 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.12 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.03 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.17 | 1.05 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 30, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
FC Puente Tocinos vs Lorca Deportiva
2:0
Sep 19, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Lorca Deportiva vs FC Puente Tocinos
2:0
Mar 14, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
FC Puente Tocinos vs Lorca Deportiva
2:2
Oct 25, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Lorca Deportiva vs FC Puente Tocinos
3:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
FC Puente Tocinos 32 / 100
Lorca Deportiva 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
FC Puente Tocinos Lorca Deportiva
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: FC Puente Tocinos scored in 61% of their last 33 outings.
Defensive concern: Lorca Deportiva conceded in 65% of 40 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: FC Puente Tocinos stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Lorca Deportiva
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
FC Puente Tocinos
(Home) 15 May
FC Puente Tocinos
3 : 4 Moratalla
08 May
Lorca FC
5 : 2 FC Puente Tocinos
01 May
FC Puente Tocinos
2 : 1 Club Edeco Fortuna
21 Apr
Calasparra FC
2 : 2 FC Puente Tocinos
17 Apr
FC Puente Tocinos
2 : 2 Cartagena La Union
Page 1 of 7
15 May
FC Puente Tocinos
3 : 4 Moratalla
01 May
FC Puente Tocinos
2 : 1 Club Edeco Fortuna
17 Apr
FC Puente Tocinos
2 : 2 Cartagena La Union
06 Apr
FC Puente Tocinos
3 : 1 Santomera
03 Apr
FC Puente Tocinos
1 : 1 Cartagena FC UCAM
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Lorca Deportiva
(Away) 13 Sept
Orihuela
1 : 0 Lorca Deportiva
06 Sept
Lorca Deportiva
1 : 1 Ilicitano
15 Aug
Aguilas FC
1 : 0 Lorca Deportiva
12 Aug
Lorca Deportiva
0 : 1 Murcia
06 Aug
Lorca Deportiva
1 : 0 Aguilas FC
Page 1 of 8
13 Sept
Orihuela
1 : 0 Lorca Deportiva
15 Aug
Aguilas FC
1 : 0 Lorca Deportiva
03 May
Deportiva Minera
1 : 0 Lorca Deportiva
19 Apr
Aguilas FC
2 : 0 Lorca Deportiva
05 Apr
Almeria B
1 : 1 Lorca Deportiva
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Futbol Club Jumilla | 38 | 27 | 5 | 6 | 84:26 | 86 |
| 2 | Yeclano | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 93:38 | 84 |
| 3 | Lorca Deportiva | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 95:36 | 84 |
| 4 | UCAM Murcia | 38 | 26 | 5 | 7 | 82:38 | 83 |
| 5 | Cartagena La Union | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 84:40 | 81 |
| 6 | Pinatar | 38 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 68:28 | 80 |
| 7 | Ciudad Cieza | 38 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 81:33 | 80 |
| 8 | CA Pulpileno | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 61:56 | 52 |
| 9 | Plus Ultra | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 59:56 | 52 |
| 10 | Santomera | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 52:45 | 49 |
| 11 | FC Puente Tocinos | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 48:57 | 48 |
| 12 | Club Edeco Fortuna | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 50:73 | 47 |
| 13 | Cartagena FC UCAM | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 59:55 | 43 |
| 14 | Beniel | 38 | 12 | 6 | 20 | 54:71 | 42 |
| 15 | Calasparra FC | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 44:70 | 36 |
| 16 | Base Abaran | 38 | 8 | 7 | 23 | 26:81 | 31 |
| 17 | Bala Azul | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 47:76 | 30 |
| 18 | Mazarron FC | 38 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 40:69 | 28 |
| 19 | CD Lumbreras | 38 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 28:127 | 18 |
| 20 | Jumilla CD | 38 | 3 | 5 | 30 | 31:111 | 14 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)
