Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 13 2009/2010

FC Puente Tocinos

2 - 2

Lorca Deportiva

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 13 2009/2010 game between FC Puente Tocinos and Lorca Deportiva finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

FC Puente Tocinos

20%

Draws

38%

Lorca Deportiva

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FC Puente Tocinos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence

Lorca Deportiva carry the better recent record into this one.
Model gives FC Puente Tocinos a 42% chance of winning this.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%

FC Puente Tocinos Clean Sheet 20%

Lorca Deportiva Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	FC Puente Tocinos	Lorca Deportiva
Matches Played	32	36
Wins	8	15
Draws	5	7
Losses	19	14
Goals Scored	0	0.88
Goals Conceded	0	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 30, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 13

FC Puente Tocinos vs Lorca Deportiva

Possession: 54% - 51% Cards: 3 - 2

2:0

Sep 19, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 13

Lorca Deportiva vs FC Puente Tocinos

Possession: 45% - 42% Cards: 1 - 2

2:0

Mar 14, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 13

FC Puente Tocinos vs Lorca Deportiva

Possession: 54% - 47% Cards: 3 - 1

2:2

Oct 25, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 13

Lorca Deportiva vs FC Puente Tocinos

Possession: 47% - 41% Cards: 1 - 3

3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Puente Tocinos 42 / 100

Lorca Deportiva 37 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

FC Puente Tocinos Lorca Deportiva

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lorca Deportiva has conceded goals in 69% of their last 36 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.

Recent resilience: FC Puente Tocinos stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Lorca Deportiva's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Lorca Deportiva

0 Goals Scored 0.88

0 Goals Conceded 0.88

0% Over 1.5 38%

0% Over 2.5 25%

0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Futbol Club Jumilla	38	27	5	6	84:26	86
2	Yeclano	38	26	6	6	93:38	84
3	Lorca Deportiva	38	26	6	6	95:36	84
4	UCAM Murcia	38	26	5	7	82:38	83
5	Cartagena La Union	38	25	6	7	84:40	81
6	Pinatar	38	24	8	6	68:28	80
7	Ciudad Cieza	38	24	8	6	81:33	80
8	CA Pulpileno	38	15	7	16	61:56	52
9	Plus Ultra	38	14	10	14	59:56	52
10	Santomera	38	12	13	13	52:45	49
11	FC Puente Tocinos	38	14	6	18	48:57	48
12	Club Edeco Fortuna	38	13	8	17	50:73	47
13	Cartagena FC UCAM	38	11	10	17	59:55	43
14	Beniel	38	12	6	20	54:71	42
15	Calasparra FC	38	9	9	20	44:70	36
16	Base Abaran	38	8	7	23	26:81	31
17	Bala Azul	38	7	9	22	47:76	30
18	Mazarron CF	38	7	7	24	40:69	28
19	CD Lumbreras	38	5	3	30	28:127	18
20	Jumilla CD	38	3	5	30	31:111	14