Sport Picks
FC Renaissance vs Etoile de Kivu Prediction & H2H Stats
DR Congo
Ligue 1 
AI Match Summary
The Ligue 1 game between FC Renaissance and Etoile de Kivu finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
30%
42%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Etoile de Kivu
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- FC Renaissance haven't matched Etoile de Kivu's recent run of results.
- Model gives Etoile de Kivu a 42% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
FC Renaissance Clean Sheet 13%
Etoile de Kivu Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FC Renaissance | Etoile de Kivu |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 26 |
| Wins | 4 | 10 |
| Draws | 13 | 6 |
| Losses | 10 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.78 | 1.31 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.48 | 1.35 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 4, 2026 Ligue 1
Etoile de Kivu vs FC Renaissance
3:0
Dec 4, 2025 Ligue 1
FC Renaissance vs Etoile de Kivu
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
FC Renaissance 14 / 100
Etoile de Kivu 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
FC Renaissance Etoile de Kivu
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Etoile de Kivu Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
FC Renaissance's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 27 recent games.
Etoile de Kivu's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 26 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.
FC Renaissance has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
FC Renaissance VS Etoile de Kivu
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
FC Renaissance
(Home) 12 Apr
FC Renaissance
0 : 5 AS Maniema
09 Apr
FC Renaissance
0 : 0 Dauphins Noirs
02 Apr
OC Renaissance
1 : 1 FC Renaissance
26 Mar
FC Renaissance
1 : 1 Motema Pembe
21 Mar
FC Renaissance
3 : 0 Bukavu Dawa
Page 1 of 6
12 Apr
FC Renaissance
0 : 5 AS Maniema
09 Apr
FC Renaissance
0 : 0 Dauphins Noirs
26 Mar
FC Renaissance
1 : 1 Motema Pembe
21 Mar
FC Renaissance
3 : 0 Bukavu Dawa
10 Mar
FC Renaissance
1 : 1 AS Maniema
Page 1 of 3
Etoile de Kivu
(Away) 15 Apr
Etoile de Kivu
1 : 5 Motema Pembe
12 Apr
FC MK Etancheite
0 : 3 Etoile de Kivu
09 Apr
AC Rangers
0 : 1 Etoile de Kivu
29 Mar
Celeste
1 : 0 Etoile de Kivu
07 Mar
Etoile de Kivu
3 : 0 OC Renaissance
Page 1 of 6
12 Apr
FC MK Etancheite
0 : 3 Etoile de Kivu
09 Apr
AC Rangers
0 : 1 Etoile de Kivu
29 Mar
Celeste
1 : 0 Etoile de Kivu
22 Feb
AS Maniema
3 : 2 Etoile de Kivu
07 Feb
Bukavu Dawa
0 : 1 Etoile de Kivu
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mazembe | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 57:12 | 73 |
| 2 | St Eloi Lupopo | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 55:27 | 63 |
| 3 | Don Bosco | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 43:24 | 56 |
| 4 | Simba | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 33:27 | 50 |
| 5 | Manika | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 31:20 | 48 |
| 6 | Tanganyika | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 38:32 | 44 |
| 7 | Lubumbashi Sport | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 27:26 | 43 |
| 8 | Blessing | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 33:31 | 40 |
| 9 | Sanga Balende | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 25:34 | 36 |
| 10 | Saint-Luc | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 21:33 | 35 |
| 11 | Malole | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 34:39 | 33 |
| 12 | New Soger | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 29:40 | 33 |
| 13 | Tshinkunku | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 23:41 | 31 |
| 14 | Groupe Bazano | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 26:38 | 30 |
| 15 | Tshikas | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 25:40 | 28 |
| 16 | US Panda | 30 | 5 | 1 | 24 | 17:59 | 16 |
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Maniema | 27 | 13 | 13 | 1 | 38:10 | 52 |
| 2 | AS Vita Club | 27 | 13 | 11 | 3 | 35:13 | 50 |
| 3 | Aigles du Congo | 26 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 32:16 | 48 |
| 4 | Dauphins Noirs | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 35:20 | 45 |
| 5 | Celeste | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 36:13 | 44 |
| 6 | Etoile de Kivu | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 34:35 | 36 |
| 7 | Motema Pembe | 26 | 7 | 14 | 5 | 33:25 | 35 |
| 8 | Anges Verts | 26 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 26:32 | 29 |
| 9 | New Jack | 26 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 20:26 | 29 |
| 10 | AC Rangers | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 21:35 | 29 |
| 11 | FC MK Etancheite | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 15:35 | 26 |
| 12 | FC Renaissance | 27 | 4 | 13 | 10 | 21:40 | 25 |
| 13 | OC Renaissance | 26 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 14:33 | 22 |
| 14 | Bukavu Dawa | 26 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 10:37 | 14 |
| 15 | Martin Pecheur | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)
