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FC Rio de Janeiro vs Buzios

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B2
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
17' Event
72' Event

AI Match Summary

The Carioca B2 game between FC Rio de Janeiro and Buzios finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Rio de Janeiro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
FC Rio de Janeiro
15%
Draws
0%
Buzios
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Rio de Janeiro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Buzios carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Buzios a 0% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 47.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
FC Rio de Janeiro Clean Sheet 20%
Buzios Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Rio de Janeiro Buzios
Matches Played 22 28
Wins 4 10
Draws 3 4
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1 1.43
Goals Conceded 2.27 1.89
Expected Goals (xG) 0.74 1.20
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2026 Carioca B2
FC Rio de Janeiro vs Buzios
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Rio de Janeiro 20 / 100
Buzios 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Rio de Janeiro Buzios

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Buzios Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Buzios lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Buzios let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Solid form: FC Rio de Janeiro remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Rio de Janeiro VS Buzios
0.6 Goals Scored 2
0.4 Goals Conceded 0.88
20% Over 1.5 75%
20% Over 2.5 25%
20% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Rio de Janeiro

(Home)
13 Sept
Cardoso Moreira
1 : 0
FC Rio de Janeiro
06 Sept
Belford Roxo
0 : 0
FC Rio de Janeiro
31 Aug
FC Rio de Janeiro
3 : 1
Buzios
09 Nov
FC Rio de Janeiro
3 : 0
Barra Mansa
06 Nov
7 de Abril
6 : 2
FC Rio de Janeiro
Page 1 of 5

Buzios

(Away)
20 Sept
Buzios
0 : 2
Serra Macaense
13 Sept
Santa Cruz RJ
3 : 0
Buzios
06 Sept
Buzios
0 : 3
Cardoso Moreira
31 Aug
FC Rio de Janeiro
3 : 1
Buzios
26 Jul
Cardoso Moreira
2 : 1
Buzios
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cardoso Moreira 4 4 0 0 7:1 12
2 Friburguense 4 3 1 0 7:1 10
3 Paduano EC 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
4 Santa Cruz RJ 3 2 0 1 5:1 6
5 Belford Roxo 4 1 2 1 7:4 5
6 Campos AA 4 1 2 1 6:7 5
7 7 de Abril 3 1 1 1 6:5 4
8 FC Rio de Janeiro 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
9 Serra Macaense 4 1 1 2 5:5 4
10 Barra Mansa 4 0 3 1 5:8 3
11 Paraty 3 0 0 3 2:10 0
12 Buzios 4 0 0 4 1:11 0
Promotion - Carioca B2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca C 2027 (Main)