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Stadium Background

FC Rustavi vs Dinamo Tbilisi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga David Petriashvili Stadium, Tbilisi
Fri, Oct 23, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Rustavi host Dinamo Tbilisi in the Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: FC Rustavi at 1.38 goals for, 0.9 against; Dinamo Tbilisi at 1.75 for, 1.29 against. Head-to-head, FC Rustavi have won 2 to Dinamo Tbilisi's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Aug 15, 2026, ending 0:3. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 1.19, favoring FC Rustavi. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
FC Rustavi
30%
Draws
37%
Dinamo Tbilisi
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dinamo Tbilisi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • FC Rustavi have won more games recently than Dinamo Tbilisi.
  • 37% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
FC Rustavi Clean Sheet 20%
Dinamo Tbilisi Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Rustavi Dinamo Tbilisi
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 16 15
Draws 6 6
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.38 1.75
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Dinamo Tbilisi vs FC Rustavi
0:3
May 11, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
FC Rustavi vs Dinamo Tbilisi
2:3
Mar 11, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Dinamo Tbilisi vs FC Rustavi
0:0
Jan 23, 2026 Club Friendly
FC Rustavi vs Dinamo Tbilisi
2:1
Nov 9, 2019 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
FC Rustavi vs Dinamo Tbilisi
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Rustavi 32 / 100
Dinamo Tbilisi 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Rustavi Dinamo Tbilisi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dinamo Tbilisi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Rustavi found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Dinamo Tbilisi let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

FC Rustavi went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Rustavi VS Dinamo Tbilisi
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Rustavi

(Home)
10 Oct
FC Rustavi
3 : 1
Dila Gori
26 Sept
Samtredia
1 : 2
FC Rustavi
21 Sept
FC Rustavi
0 : 2
Iberia 1999
14 Sept
Meshakhte Tkibuli
0 : 1
FC Rustavi
09 Sept
Spaeri
1 : 1
FC Rustavi
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Dinamo Tbilisi

(Away)
04 Oct
Iberia 1999
1 : 2
Dinamo Tbilisi
19 Sept
Samgurali
2 : 3
Dinamo Tbilisi
14 Sept
Dinamo Tbilisi
4 : 0
Gagra
10 Sept
Dinamo Tbilisi
0 : 0
Meshakhte Tkibuli
06 Sept
Torpedo Kutaisi
1 : 1
Dinamo Tbilisi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Rustavi 28 14 7 7 35:24 49
2 Iberia 1999 28 15 4 9 40:31 49
3 Dinamo Tbilisi 27 13 9 5 45:30 48
4 Dinamo Batumi 27 13 8 6 46:36 47
5 Dila Gori 28 12 4 12 39:33 40
6 Torpedo Kutaisi 28 9 10 9 46:37 37
7 Samgurali 27 9 5 13 38:52 32
8 Gagra 27 6 11 10 25:37 29
9 Spaeri 28 5 11 12 37:46 26
10 Meshakhte Tkibuli 28 2 11 15 21:46 17
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2027 (Main)