Sport Picks
FC Rustavi vs Samgurali - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Georgia
Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga David Petriashvili Stadium, Tbilisi 
AI Match Summary
FC Rustavi host Samgurali in the Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Samgurali have shipped 1.9 goals a game lately, while FC Rustavi have conceded 0.9 and scored 1.38. Head-to-head, FC Rustavi have won 1 to Samgurali's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Aug 30, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.88 xG vs 1.13) point toward FC Rustavi. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and FC Rustavi come out ahead of Samgurali on wins alone.
- Win probability leans FC Rustavi's way, sitting at 60%.
- Regular Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FC Rustavi | Samgurali |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 12 |
| Draws | 6 | 3 |
| Losses | 7 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.55 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 1.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
FC Rustavi's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Defensive concern: Samgurali conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.
Games between these two average 1.80 goals.
FC Rustavi has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
FC Rustavi
(Home)Samgurali
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dinamo Batumi | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 47:36 | 50 |
| 2 | FC Rustavi | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 35:24 | 49 |
| 3 | Iberia 1999 | 28 | 15 | 4 | 9 | 40:31 | 49 |
| 4 | Dinamo Tbilisi | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 45:31 | 48 |
| 5 | Dila Gori | 28 | 12 | 4 | 12 | 39:33 | 40 |
| 6 | Torpedo Kutaisi | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 46:37 | 37 |
| 7 | Samgurali | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 41:52 | 35 |
| 8 | Gagra | 28 | 6 | 11 | 11 | 25:40 | 29 |
| 9 | Spaeri | 28 | 5 | 11 | 12 | 37:46 | 26 |
| 10 | Meshakhte Tkibuli | 28 | 2 | 11 | 15 | 21:46 | 17 |
