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FC 's-Gravenzande vs SteDoCo

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
FC 's-Gravenzande
30%
Draws
58%
SteDoCo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: SteDoCo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

12% / Low Confidence
  • SteDoCo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives FC 's-Gravenzande a 12% chance of winning this.
  • SteDoCo arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor SteDoCo, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 41.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
FC 's-Gravenzande Clean Sheet 20%
SteDoCo Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC 's-Gravenzande SteDoCo
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 7 8
Draws 7 5
Losses 16 19
Goals Scored 1.43 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.93 2.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Derde Divisie
SteDoCo vs FC 's-Gravenzande
3:1
May 27, 2026 Derde Divisie
FC 's-Gravenzande vs SteDoCo
1:1
May 3, 2025 Derde Divisie
SteDoCo vs FC 's-Gravenzande
1:1
Nov 23, 2024 Derde Divisie
FC 's-Gravenzande vs SteDoCo
1:3
Oct 19, 2019 KNVB Beker
FC 's-Gravenzande vs SteDoCo
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC 's-Gravenzande 40 / 100
SteDoCo 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC 's-Gravenzande SteDoCo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC 's-Gravenzande Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC 's-Gravenzande scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: SteDoCo conceded in 88% of 32 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: FC 's-Gravenzande remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FC 's-Gravenzande VS SteDoCo
0.67 Goals Scored 0.88
2 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
33% Over 2.5 75%
33% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

FC 's-Gravenzande

(Home)
02 Sept
FC 's-Gravenzande
0 : 2
Gemert
30 May
SteDoCo
3 : 1
FC 's-Gravenzande
27 May
FC 's-Gravenzande
1 : 1
SteDoCo
14 Jun
Groene Ster
4 : 3
FC 's-Gravenzande
11 Jun
FC 's-Gravenzande
0 : 1
Groene Ster
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SteDoCo

(Away)
06 Jun
EVV
1 : 1
SteDoCo
03 Jun
SteDoCo
0 : 1
EVV
30 May
SteDoCo
3 : 1
FC 's-Gravenzande
27 May
FC 's-Gravenzande
1 : 1
SteDoCo
23 May
SteDoCo
1 : 5
VV Kloetinge
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
HVV Hollandia 5
Huizen 3
HBC 4
Flevo Boys 2
Heino 0
TEC 2
NEO 6
Watergraafsmeer 2
HV & CV Quick 4
EVV 5
FC 's-Gravenzande 2
SteDoCo 4
Valkenswaard 5
VV Heerjansdam 8
Dongen 2
SVV Scheveningen 1
Final
HVV Hollandia 3
HBC 0
TEC 3
NEO 1
EVV 2
SteDoCo 1
VV Heerjansdam 2
Dongen 3