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FC Sancti Spiritus vs FC Guantanamo

Cuba Cuba

Liga Nacional 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Liga Nacional 2023 game between FC Sancti Spiritus and FC Guantanamo finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Guantanamo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
FC Sancti Spiritus
6%
Draws
90%
FC Guantanamo
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FC Guantanamo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FC Guantanamo come out ahead of FC Sancti Spiritus on wins alone.
  • FC Guantanamo are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Liga Nacional 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors FC Guantanamo here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 20.4%
FC Sancti Spiritus Clean Sheet 13%
FC Guantanamo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Sancti Spiritus FC Guantanamo
Matches Played 27 36
Wins 3 19
Draws 5 9
Losses 19 8
Goals Scored 0.25 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2023 Liga Nacional
FC Sancti Spiritus vs FC Guantanamo
0:2
May 7, 2022 Liga Nacional
FC Guantanamo vs FC Sancti Spiritus
3:0
Mar 19, 2022 Liga Nacional
FC Sancti Spiritus vs FC Guantanamo
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Sancti Spiritus 10 / 100
FC Guantanamo 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Sancti Spiritus FC Guantanamo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: FC Sancti Spiritus scored in 19% of their last 27 outings.

FC Guantanamo has conceded goals in 47% of their last 36 outings.

Solid form: FC Sancti Spiritus remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Sancti Spiritus VS FC Guantanamo
0.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Sancti Spiritus

(Home)
14 Jun
FC Camaguey
3 : 0
FC Sancti Spiritus
07 Jun
Las Tunas
4 : 0
FC Sancti Spiritus
24 May
FC Sancti Spiritus
0 : 0
FC Ciego de Avila
17 May
FC Sancti Spiritus
2 : 1
Las Tunas
03 May
FC Ciego de Avila
3 : 0
FC Sancti Spiritus
Page 1 of 6

FC Guantanamo

(Away)
12 Jul
FC Guantanamo
0 : 1
FC La Habana
14 Jun
CF Granma
0 : 6
FC Guantanamo
07 Jun
FC Guantanamo
1 : 1
FC Holguin
24 May
FC Guantanamo
1 : 0
FC Santiago de Cuba
17 May
FC Holguin
2 : 3
FC Guantanamo
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Cienfuegos761014:219
2FC La Habana752011:217
3Matanzas740311:812
4Artemisa731315:810
5FC Villa Clara72146:117
6Isla de La Juventud72145:107
7Pinar del Rio71246:155
8Mayabeque Guines71064:163
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2023 (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2023 (Clausura)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Santiago de Cuba742114:514
2FC Guantanamo742112:614
3FC Holguin74129:713
4FC Camaguey73319:412
5CF Granma73045:99
6FC Sancti Spiritus72142:67
7FC Ciego de Avila72145:107
8Las Tunas70253:122
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2023 (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2023 (Clausura)