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FC Santa Coloma vs Penybont

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Conference League Estadi Comunal
Thu, Jul 16, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Santa Coloma host Penybont in the Conference League. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Penybont have shipped 1 goals a game lately, while FC Santa Coloma have conceded 0.38 and scored 1.13. Past meetings favor FC Santa Coloma slightly — 2-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 9, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.06 xG vs 0.51) point toward FC Santa Coloma. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
FC Santa Coloma
33%
Draws
40%
Penybont
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Penybont

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FC Santa Coloma come out ahead of Penybont on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Penybont's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and FC Santa Coloma have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
FC Santa Coloma Clean Sheet 20%
Penybont Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Santa Coloma Penybont
Matches Played 26 28
Wins 15 9
Draws 4 6
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.13 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.38 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 9, 2026 Conference League
Penybont vs FC Santa Coloma
0:1
Jul 20, 2023 Conference League
FC Santa Coloma vs Penybont
2:0
Jul 13, 2023 Conference League
Penybont vs FC Santa Coloma
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Santa Coloma 28 / 100
Penybont 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Santa Coloma Penybont

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PEN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Santa Coloma's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

Penybont has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.67 goals per match.

FC Santa Coloma went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Santa Coloma VS Penybont
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
0.38 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
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Pyunik Yerevan3
IFK Goteborg-
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Caernarfon0
Levadia5
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Bravo-
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Europa FC0
Shkendija Tetovo5
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Kalju1
Linfield0
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Dinamo Tirana0
FC Astana1
AF Elbasani1
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Quarter-finals
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Rakow Czestochowa-
Valletta-
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Shelbourne-
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Noah-
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Sion-
Motherwell-
HB Torshavn-
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Hibernian-
Paks-
Panathinaikos-
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Ajax-
LNZ Cherkasy-
Gent-
Hapoel Tel Aviv-
Ludogorets-
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Vaduz-
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Koper-
Partizan-
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Basaksehir-
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HJK-
Coleraine-
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Austria Vienna-
GAIS-
Nordsjaelland-
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GKS Katowice-
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Apollon Limassol-
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Brann-
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Zrinjski-
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Dun. Streda-
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FK Panevezys-
Tobol-
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Zeleznicar Pancevo-
Braga-
Polissya Zhytomyr-
FC Copenhagen-
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Rapid Vienna-
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CFR Cluj-
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CSKA 1948 Sofia-
AEK Larnaca-
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