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FC Santa Coloma vs Penya

Andorra Andorra

Primera Divisió Estadi Comunal, Andorra la Vella
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
37'
51'

AI Match Summary

FC Santa Coloma in this Primera Divisió matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Santa Coloma.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
FC Santa Coloma
20%
Draws
15%
Penya
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FC Santa Coloma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Penya haven't matched FC Santa Coloma's recent run of results.
  • FC Santa Coloma are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Primera Divisió form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and FC Santa Coloma have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
FC Santa Coloma Clean Sheet 20%
Penya Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Santa Coloma Penya
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 21 8
Draws 4 5
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 2.18 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Primera Divisió
FC Santa Coloma vs Penya
4:0
Mar 21, 2026 Primera Divisió
Penya vs FC Santa Coloma
0:1
Nov 30, 2025 Primera Divisió
Penya vs FC Santa Coloma
0:6
Oct 22, 2025 Primera Divisió
FC Santa Coloma vs Penya
1:0
Apr 13, 2025 Primera Divisió
FC Santa Coloma vs Penya
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Santa Coloma 85 / 100
Penya 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Santa Coloma Penya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Santa Coloma Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Santa Coloma found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (33 games).

Penya has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

FC Santa Coloma went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Santa Coloma VS Penya
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Santa Coloma

(Home)
20 Sept
Sporting Escaldes
1 : 5
FC Santa Coloma
13 Sept
FC Santa Coloma
4 : 0
Penya
05 Sept
Carroi
0 : 3
FC Santa Coloma
29 Jul
Rapid Vienna
6 : 2
FC Santa Coloma
23 Jul
FC Santa Coloma
1 : 3
Rapid Vienna
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Penya

(Away)
19 Sept
Carroi
2 : 2
Penya
13 Sept
FC Santa Coloma
4 : 0
Penya
06 Sept
Penya
1 : 1
Atletic Escaldes
17 May
Atletic Escaldes
2 : 0
Penya
10 May
Penya
1 : 2
FC Rangers
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Santa Coloma 3 3 0 0 12:1 9
2 Inter Escaldes 3 2 1 0 8:2 7
3 Atletic Escaldes 3 2 1 0 8:2 7
4 Ordino 3 2 0 1 5:7 6
5 FC Rangers 3 1 1 1 3:5 4
6 Esperanca 3 1 1 1 7:4 4
7 Penya 3 0 2 1 3:7 2
8 Casa de Portugal 3 0 1 2 3:7 1
9 Carroi 3 0 1 2 2:8 1
10 Sporting Escaldes 3 0 0 3 3:11 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Primera Divisió (Relegation)