Sport Picks

Europe

Conference League Estadi Comunal

Penybont

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

FC Santa Coloma play Penybont in the Conference League. It looks like a close match. Recently, FC Santa Coloma averaged 2.08 goals scored and 0.88 conceded. Penybont averaged 1.3 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. In past meetings, FC Santa Coloma won 1, Penybont won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jul 20, 2023 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for FC Santa Coloma and 0.51 for Penybont. This points to a FC Santa Coloma double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%

FC Santa Coloma

19%

Draws

29%

Penybont

Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: FC Santa Coloma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence

FC Santa Coloma picked up more points recently compared to Penybont.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 0.51 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 76%

Over 2.5 Goals 50%

Over 3.5 Goals 30%

Over 4.5 Goals 15%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%

FC Santa Coloma Clean Sheet 30%

Penybont Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 68%

Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	FC Santa Coloma	Penybont
Matches Played	25	27
Wins	14	9
Draws	4	6
Losses	7	12
Goals Scored	2.08	1.3
Goals Conceded	0.88	1.67
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.38	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 20, 2023 Conference League

FC Santa Coloma vs Penybont

Possession: 41% - 42% Cards: 1 - 1

2:0

Jul 13, 2023 Conference League

Penybont vs FC Santa Coloma

Possession: 43% - 42% Cards: 0 - 0

1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Santa Coloma 53 / 100

Penybont 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

FC Santa Coloma Penybont

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: FC Santa Coloma or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +18%

2.27

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +13.5%

2.27

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

FC Santa Coloma attacking → ← attacking Penybont

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Santa Coloma scored in 80% of their last 25 games.

Penybont let in goals in 70% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

FC Santa Coloma went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Penybont lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

46 Points in last 5 33

1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.63

0.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00