Sport Picks

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FC Santiago de Cuba vs CF Granma

Cuba Cuba

Liga Nacional 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Santiago de Cuba play CF Granma in the Liga Nacional 2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, FC Santiago de Cuba averaged 1.54 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. CF Granma averaged 0.89 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. In past meetings, FC Santiago de Cuba won 3, CF Granma won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 7, 2025 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for FC Santiago de Cuba and 1.00 for CF Granma. This points to a FC Santiago de Cuba double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
FC Santiago de Cuba
24%
Draws
26%
CF Granma
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: FC Santiago de Cuba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence
  • FC Santiago de Cuba picked up more points recently compared to CF Granma.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 43%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%
FC Santiago de Cuba Clean Sheet 23%
CF Granma Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 59%
Second Half Goal 63%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Santiago de Cuba CF Granma
Matches Played 35 27
Wins 15 7
Draws 11 5
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.54 0.89
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2025 Liga Nacional
CF Granma vs FC Santiago de Cuba
0:0
May 17, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Santiago de Cuba vs CF Granma
1:0
Apr 12, 2025 Liga Nacional
CF Granma vs FC Santiago de Cuba
2:3
Mar 22, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Santiago de Cuba vs CF Granma
0:1
Mar 4, 2023 Liga Nacional
FC Santiago de Cuba vs CF Granma
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Santiago de Cuba 50 / 100
CF Granma 25 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Santiago de Cuba CF Granma

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: FC Santiago de Cuba or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19%
2.38
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +16.1%
2.70
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

FC Santiago de Cuba attacking → ← attacking CF Granma

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Santiago de Cuba scored in 66% of their last 35 games.

CF Granma let in goals in 74% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

FC Santiago de Cuba went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

CF Granma lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

56 Points in last 5 26
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1FC Cienfuegos761014:219
2FC La Habana752011:217
3Matanzas740311:812
4Artemisa731315:810
5FC Villa Clara72146:117
6Isla de La Juventud72145:107
7Pinar del Rio71246:155
8Mayabeque Guines71064:163
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1FC Santiago de Cuba742114:514
2FC Guantanamo742112:614
3FC Holguin74129:713
4FC Camaguey73319:412
5CF Granma73045:99
6FC Sancti Spiritus72142:67
7FC Ciego de Avila72145:107
8Las Tunas70253:122