Sport Picks

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FC Santiago de Cuba vs FC Guantanamo

Cuba Cuba

Liga Nacional
Our Tip

Match Events

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AI Match Summary

FC Santiago de Cuba host FC Guantanamo in the Liga Nacional. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: FC Santiago de Cuba at 0.63 goals for, 1.13 against; FC Guantanamo at 1.75 for, 0.63 against. Head-to-head, FC Santiago de Cuba have won 0 to FC Guantanamo's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on May 24, 2025, ending 1:0. xG projections (0.63 - 1.44) back FC Guantanamo to edge this. FC Guantanamo in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
FC Santiago de Cuba
33%
Draws
40%
FC Guantanamo
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: FC Guantanamo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Guantanamo has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to FC Santiago de Cuba.
  • Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for FC Guantanamo.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Liga Nacional provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
FC Santiago de Cuba Clean Sheet 16%
FC Guantanamo Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Santiago de Cuba FC Guantanamo
Matches Played 32 35
Wins 14 20
Draws 9 8
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 0.63 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Guantanamo vs FC Santiago de Cuba
1:0
May 3, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Santiago de Cuba vs FC Guantanamo
0:4
Mar 29, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Guantanamo vs FC Santiago de Cuba
0:0
Mar 8, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Santiago de Cuba vs FC Guantanamo
0:1
Feb 10, 2024 Liga Nacional
FC Santiago de Cuba vs FC Guantanamo
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Santiago de Cuba 28 / 100
FC Guantanamo 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Santiago de Cuba FC Guantanamo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Santiago de Cuba scored in 69% of their last 32 games.

FC Guantanamo let in goals in 46% of their last 35 matches.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

FC Santiago de Cuba went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

FC Guantanamo lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Santiago de Cuba VS FC Guantanamo
0.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
38% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC La Habana1173121:1224
2Artemisa1244418:1916
3Isla de La Juventud1132610:1611
4Pinar del Rio1023511:139
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Cienfuegos1264220:1122
2FC Villa Clara1264216:722
3Matanzas1233610:1312
4Mayabeque Guines1223711:269
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Las Tunas1271420:1322
2FC Ciego de Avila1262416:920
3FC Camaguey1152417:1417
4FC Sancti Spiritus111373:206
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Guantanamo1283125:627
2FC Santiago de Cuba1143412:1115
3FC Holguin1234512:1913
4CF Granma112279:228