Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Sevastopol vs Nart Cherkessk

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Sat, Aug 1, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Sevastopol host Nart Cherkessk in the FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: FC Sevastopol at 1.38 goals for, 0.63 against; Nart Cherkessk at 1.38 for, 0.88 against. Past meetings favor FC Sevastopol slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 6, 2026, ending 0:1. xG projections (1.13 - 1.00) back FC Sevastopol to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
FC Sevastopol
33%
Draws
27%
Nart Cherkessk
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: FC Sevastopol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Nart Cherkessk haven't matched FC Sevastopol's recent run of results.
  • FC Sevastopol are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors FC Sevastopol here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
FC Sevastopol Clean Sheet 20%
Nart Cherkessk Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Sevastopol Nart Cherkessk
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 22 16
Draws 8 6
Losses 2 7
Goals Scored 1.38 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Nart Cherkessk vs FC Sevastopol
0:1
Nov 15, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
FC Sevastopol vs Nart Cherkessk
1:1
Oct 18, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Nart Cherkessk vs FC Sevastopol
0:1
Jun 14, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Nart Cherkessk vs FC Sevastopol
1:2
Mar 29, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
FC Sevastopol vs Nart Cherkessk
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Sevastopol 40 / 100
Nart Cherkessk 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Sevastopol Nart Cherkessk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SEV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Sevastopol's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

FC Sevastopol has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Nart Cherkessk conceded in 55% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

FC Sevastopol VS Nart Cherkessk
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Sevastopol

(Home)
25 Jul
Maykop
1 : 3
FC Sevastopol
04 Jul
Spartak Nalchik
3 : 2
FC Sevastopol
27 Jun
FC Sevastopol
1 : 0
Angust Nazran
20 Jun
Astrakhan
1 : 2
FC Sevastopol
13 Jun
FC Sevastopol
2 : 1
FK Pobeda
Page 1 of 7

Nart Cherkessk

(Away)
04 Jul
Nart Cherkessk
1 : 0
Kyzyltash
27 Jun
Rubin Yalta
1 : 2
Nart Cherkessk
20 Jun
Nart Cherkessk
1 : 1
Shahter Taganrog
13 Jun
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye 2
1 : 2
Nart Cherkessk
06 Jun
Nart Cherkessk
0 : 1
FC Sevastopol
Page 1 of 6