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FC Sevastopol vs Rostov 2

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Our Tip

Match Events

55' Event
Maksimov I.
65' Event
Cheburakov K.
77' Event
Ruban S.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 game between FC Sevastopol and Rostov 2 finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Sevastopol.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
FC Sevastopol
39%
Draws
30%
Rostov 2
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FC Sevastopol come out ahead of Rostov 2 on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
FC Sevastopol Clean Sheet 15%
Rostov 2 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Sevastopol Rostov 2
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 21 13
Draws 9 5
Losses 2 12
Goals Scored 1.38 2.5
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
FC Sevastopol vs Rostov 2
2:1
Oct 25, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
FC Sevastopol vs Rostov 2
1:0
Sep 27, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Rostov 2 vs FC Sevastopol
0:1
Aug 23, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Rostov 2 vs FC Sevastopol
0:0
May 24, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
FC Sevastopol vs Rostov 2
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Sevastopol Compare

Top Goalscorer Maksimov I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Rostov 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Cheburakov K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Sevastopol 31 / 100
Rostov 2 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Sevastopol Rostov 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ROS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FC Sevastopol scored in 81% of their last 32 outings.

Defensive concern: Rostov 2 conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

FC Sevastopol went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Sevastopol VS Rostov 2
1.38 Goals Scored 2.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 50%