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FC Sevastopol vs Zarya Lugansk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Grechkin A.
66' Event
Maksimov I.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 game between FC Sevastopol and Zarya Lugansk finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Sevastopol.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
FC Sevastopol
15%
Draws
27%
Zarya Lugansk
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Sevastopol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Zarya Lugansk haven't matched FC Sevastopol's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on FC Sevastopol taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
FC Sevastopol Clean Sheet 15%
Zarya Lugansk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Sevastopol Zarya Lugansk
Matches Played 30 26
Wins 22 8
Draws 5 6
Losses 3 12
Goals Scored 1.97 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
FC Sevastopol vs Zarya Lugansk
2:0
Mar 28, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Zarya Lugansk vs FC Sevastopol
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Sevastopol Compare

Top Goalscorer Grechkin A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Maksimov I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Zarya Lugansk Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Sevastopol 41 / 100
Zarya Lugansk 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Sevastopol Zarya Lugansk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Sevastopol's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: FC Sevastopol stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Zarya Lugansk has conceded goals in 69% of their last 26 outings.

Scoring Trends

FC Sevastopol VS Zarya Lugansk
2 Goals Scored 2.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Sevastopol

(Home)
03 Oct
FC Sevastopol
2 : 0
Zarya Lugansk
26 Sept
Rostov 2
0 : 1
FC Sevastopol
22 Sept
FC Sevastopol
3 : 1
Rubin Yalta
05 Sept
FC Sevastopol
2 : 1
Kyzyltash
29 Aug
FC Sevastopol
1 : 0
Spartak Nalchik
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Zarya Lugansk

(Away)
10 Oct
Zarya Lugansk
1 : 2
Nart Cherkessk
03 Oct
FC Sevastopol
2 : 0
Zarya Lugansk
19 Sept
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye 2
1 : 5
Zarya Lugansk
12 Sept
Rostov 2
0 : 5
Zarya Lugansk
05 Sept
Zarya Lugansk
1 : 1
Shahter Taganrog
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