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FC Stumbras 2 vs Jonava

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga 2019
Fri, Aug 16, 2019
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Stumbras 2 host Jonava in the I Lyga 2019. Form suggests where the edge lies here. FC Stumbras 2 have averaged 0.91 scored and 1.64 conceded recently, against Jonava's 0.9 scored and 1.45 conceded. Head-to-head, FC Stumbras 2 have won 1 to Jonava's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Aug 16, 2019, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.42 xG vs 0.68) point toward FC Stumbras 2. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
FC Stumbras 2
15%
Draws
34%
Jonava
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Stumbras 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Jonava lately — more wins on the board than FC Stumbras 2.
  • Model gives FC Stumbras 2 a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular I Lyga 2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
FC Stumbras 2 Clean Sheet 20%
Jonava Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Stumbras 2 Jonava
Matches Played 11 31
Wins 4 7
Draws 2 7
Losses 5 17
Goals Scored 0.91 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.64 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2019 I Lyga
FC Stumbras 2 vs Jonava
0:0
Apr 22, 2019 I Lyga
Jonava vs FC Stumbras 2
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Stumbras 2 58 / 100
Jonava 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Stumbras 2 Jonava

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Stumbras 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jonava's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 31 matches.

Jonava lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: FC Stumbras 2 scored in 36% of their last 11 outings.

Historical meetings average 0.50 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

- VS Jonava
0 Goals Scored 0.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Stumbras 2

(Home)
23 Jun
FC Hegelmann
3 : 0
FC Stumbras 2
18 Jun
Dziugas Telsiai
3 : 0
FC Stumbras 2
20 May
Banga
3 : 0
FC Stumbras 2
13 May
Dainava Alytus
0 : 2
FC Stumbras 2
05 May
FC Stumbras 2
4 : 0
Riteriai 2
Page 1 of 3

Jonava

(Away)
18 Sept
Jonava
2 : 3
Tauras Taurage
11 Sept
Neptunas
2 : 0
Jonava
04 Sept
Jonava
0 : 0
Dainava Alytus
29 Aug
Transinvest 2
1 : 2
Jonava
21 Aug
Jonava
0 : 1
Siauliai 2
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dziugas Telsiai 28 19 4 5 58:23 61
2 Banga 28 17 5 6 57:24 56
3 Vilniaus Vytis 28 17 4 7 74:31 55
4 Dainava Alytus 28 17 2 9 64:32 53
5 Nevezis Kedainiai 28 16 4 8 66:37 52
6 FA Siauliai 28 14 5 9 61:37 47
7 FC Hegelmann 28 12 8 8 57:42 44
8 FK Minija 28 12 5 11 54:49 41
9 Jonava 28 12 4 12 55:46 40
10 Kupiskis 28 10 6 12 49:56 36
11 BFA Vilnius 28 10 3 15 56:53 33
12 Riteriai 2 28 9 5 14 61:49 32
13 Zalgiris 2 28 6 4 18 43:83 22
14 FK Atmosfera 28 3 4 21 23:96 13
15 FC Pakruojis 28 3 3 22 25:145 12
16 FC Stumbras 2 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - A Lyga 2020 (Main)
Promotion - A Lyga 2019 (Relegation)