Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Tallinn vs Nomme Utd U21

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga Lasnamäe Sports Complex Stadium, Tallinn
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Toome O.
Assist: Dmitrijev A.
24' Event
Kabal G.
Own Goal
29' Event
Tomingas K.
Assist: Kabal G.

AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga game between FC Tallinn and Nomme Utd U21 finished 4-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Tallinn.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
FC Tallinn
15%
Draws
48%
Nomme Utd U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nomme Utd U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Nomme Utd U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • FC Tallinn are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Esiliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
FC Tallinn Clean Sheet 19%
Nomme Utd U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Tallinn Nomme Utd U21
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 10
Draws 7 6
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.45 1.67
Goals Conceded 2 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2026 Esiliiga
FC Tallinn vs Nomme Utd U21
1:1
Jul 4, 2026 Esiliiga
FC Tallinn vs Nomme Utd U21
4:3
Mar 22, 2026 Esiliiga
Nomme Utd U21 vs FC Tallinn
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Tallinn Compare

Top Goalscorer Toome O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Arhipov L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Nomme Utd U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Tomingas K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Radomskiy A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Tallinn 58 / 100
Nomme Utd U21 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Tallinn Nomme Utd U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Tallinn Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nomme Utd U21 let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.33 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: FC Tallinn scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

FC Tallinn has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

FC Tallinn VS Nomme Utd U21
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Tallinn

(Home)
22 Sept
FC Tallinn
5 : 0
Harju JK Laagri U21
19 Sept
Elva
1 : 1
FC Tallinn
13 Sept
FC Tallinn
1 : 5
Levadia U21
03 Sept
Viimsi JK
1 : 2
FC Tallinn
29 Aug
FC Tallinn
0 : 2
Kalju U21
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Nomme Utd U21

(Away)
21 Sept
Kalju U21
2 : 3
Nomme Utd U21
13 Sept
Nomme Utd U21
1 : 0
Viimsi JK
10 Sept
Nomme Utd U21
2 : 1
Tallinna Kalev
06 Sept
Maardu Linnameeskond
2 : 1
Nomme Utd U21
03 Sept
Nomme Utd U21
0 : 1
Elva
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tartu JK Welco 30 19 5 6 81:39 62
2 Viimsi JK 30 15 5 10 56:31 50
3 Flora Tallinn U21 30 14 6 10 72:53 48
4 Elva 30 14 6 10 47:44 48
5 Maardu Linnameeskond 27 12 5 10 45:55 41
6 Levadia U21 29 13 2 14 60:55 41
7 Tallinna Kalev 29 10 7 12 52:55 37
8 Nomme Utd U21 30 10 6 14 50:62 36
9 FC Tallinn 29 7 8 14 35:63 29
10 Kalju U21 30 6 4 20 38:79 22
Promotion - Meistriliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B 2027 (Main)