Sport Picks

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FC Tallinn vs Nomme Utd U21

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga Lasnamäe Sports Complex Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Tallinn play Nomme Utd U21 in the Esiliiga. It looks like a close match. Recently, FC Tallinn averaged 1.67 goals scored and 2.6 conceded. Nomme Utd U21 averaged 2.52 goals scored and 1.9 conceded. In past meetings, FC Tallinn won 1, Nomme Utd U21 won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jul 4, 2026 ended 4:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.75 for FC Tallinn and 1.94 for Nomme Utd U21. This points to a Nomme Utd U21 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
FC Tallinn
20%
Draws
46%
Nomme Utd U21
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nomme Utd U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Tallinn picked up more points recently compared to Nomme Utd U21.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.75 vs 1.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 92%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 48%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74%
FC Tallinn Clean Sheet 10%
Nomme Utd U21 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 83%
Second Half Goal 87%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Tallinn Nomme Utd U21
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 15
Draws 6 6
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.67 2.52
Goals Conceded 2.6 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 2.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Esiliiga
FC Tallinn vs Nomme Utd U21
4:3
Mar 22, 2026 Esiliiga
Nomme Utd U21 vs FC Tallinn
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Tallinn Compare

Top Goalscorer Toome O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Arhipov L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Nomme Utd U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Tomingas K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Radomskiy A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Tallinn 33 / 100
Nomme Utd U21 43 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Tallinn Nomme Utd U21

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Nomme Utd U21 or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +30.9%
3.85
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8%
1.35
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

FC Tallinn attacking → ← attacking Nomme Utd U21

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Tallinn scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Nomme Utd U21 let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 5.50 goals.

FC Tallinn went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Nomme Utd U21 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

33 Points in last 5 51
0.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Tartu JK Welco18133254:2342
2Viimsi JK1794428:1431
3Flora Tallinn U211793544:3430
4Elva1873831:3224
5Maardu Linnameeskond1865726:3823
6Tallinna Kalev1864835:3622
7Levadia U2118701134:3321
8Nomme Utd U211754834:4119
9Kalju U211753928:4218
10FC Tallinn1845925:4617