Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Tallinn vs Tallinna FC Zapoos

Estonia Estonia

Estonian Cup Lasnamäe Sports Complex Stadium, Tallinn
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Tallinn in this Estonian Cup tie, finishing 4-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
FC Tallinn
22%
Draws
18%
Tallinna FC Zapoos
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: FC Tallinn

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FC Tallinn lately — more wins on the board than Tallinna FC Zapoos.
  • Win probability leans FC Tallinn's way, sitting at 60%.
  • FC Tallinn have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor FC Tallinn, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
FC Tallinn Clean Sheet 11%
Tallinna FC Zapoos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Tallinn Tallinna FC Zapoos
Matches Played 28 18
Wins 9 8
Draws 6 0
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.63 1
Goals Conceded 2.63 4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.63 4.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 28, 2026 Estonian Cup
FC Tallinn vs Tallinna FC Zapoos
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Tallinn 56 / 100
Tallinna FC Zapoos 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Tallinn Tallinna FC Zapoos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

FC Tallinn found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Tallinna FC Zapoos conceded in 78% of 18 recent games.

Solid form: FC Tallinn remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Tallinn VS Tallinna FC Zapoos
1.63 Goals Scored 1
2.63 Goals Conceded 4
100% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Tallinn

(Home)
28 Jul
FC Tallinn
4 : 1
Tallinna FC Zapoos
18 Jul
Tartu JK Welco
0 : 2
FC Tallinn
11 Jul
FC Tallinn
0 : 3
Elva
04 Jul
FC Tallinn
4 : 3
Nomme Utd U21
21 Jun
Levadia U21
4 : 0
FC Tallinn
Page 1 of 6

Tallinna FC Zapoos

(Away)
28 Jul
FC Tallinn
4 : 1
Tallinna FC Zapoos
29 Oct
Tallinna FC Zapoos
2 : 4
Parnu JK Vaprus
03 Sept
Tallinna FC Zapoos
3 : 0
Saku Sporting
06 Aug
Tallinna FC Zapoos
7 : 0
FC Hell Hunt
04 Mar
Levadia
7 : 0
Tallinna FC Zapoos
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Narva 10
Vana Hea Puur 0
TBD -
Flora Tallinn U21 -
Marjamaa Kompanii -
TBD -
TBD -
Generation Tallinn -
TalTech JK -
TBD -
TBD -
Keila JK -
Flora U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Pohja-Tallinna -
EstHam United -
TBD -
Kose 8
Kummik 0
Rumori Calcio II -
TBD -
TBD -
Tartu JK Welco -
Harju JK Laagri -
TBD -
TBD -
Rae Spordikool -
Tallinna Wolves 0
Tabasalu 10
TBD -
Tamper -
Levadia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond -
Johvi Phoenix 4
Elva III 2
TBD -
FC Hell Hunt -
Lahte United 1
Tabasalu Ulasabat 3
TBD -
Parnu JK Vaprus -
Hiiumaa -
TBD -
TBD -
Tulevik -
Nomme Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
Raplamaa -
Tartu Helios -
TBD -
TBD -
Soccernet -
Viimsi JK -
TBD -
TBD -
Nomme Utd U19 -
Flora -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
JK Arsenal 0
Tallinna Kalev U21 3
Rakvere FC Freedom 3
Kena JK 2
Laanemaa Haapsalu -
TBD -
Jarva-Jaani 0
Elva 4
Arukula Vigri -
TBD -
TBD -
Raasiku Joker -
TransferWise -
TBD -
TBD -
Olympic Tallinn -
Saku Sporting -
TBD -
TBD -
Legion -
Kohvile -
TBD -
TBD -
Rumori Calcio -
Tammeka Tartu -
TBD -
TBD -
Zealot Sporting -
Kristiine -
TBD -
TBD -
Jogeva Wolves -
Kuressaare -
TBD -
TBD -
Tartu JK Welco 2 -
JK Poseidon -
TBD -
Helm 30
Deliirium 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kalju -
FC Tallinn -
TBD -
TBD -
Tallinna FC Zapoos -
Saue JK Laagri 6
Viimsi Lovid 0
TBD -
Harju JK Laagri U21 -
Tammeka Tartu U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Tallinna Kalev -
Tartu Kalev 4
Paide Linnameeskond III 3
TBD -
Kuusalu Kalev -
1/32-finals
Narva 1
Flora Tallinn U21 0
Marjamaa Kompanii 8
Generation Tallinn 4
TalTech JK 0
Keila JK 6
Flora U19 6
Pohja-Tallinna 3
EstHam United 1
Kose 5
Rumori Calcio II 0
Tartu JK Welco 12
Harju JK Laagri 8
Rae Spordikool 0
Tabasalu 0
Tamper 2
Levadia -
TBD -
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond -
Johvi Phoenix 8
FC Hell Hunt 1
Tabasalu Ulasabat 1
Parnu JK Vaprus 4
Hiiumaa 4
Tulevik 1
Nomme Utd 12
Raplamaa 0
Tartu Helios -
Soccernet -
Viimsi JK 4
Nomme Utd U19 0
Flora -
TBD -
Tallinna Kalev U21 4
Rakvere FC Freedom 2
Laanemaa Haapsalu 0
Elva 6
Arukula Vigri 0
Raasiku Joker 1
TransferWise 3
Olympic Tallinn 6
Saku Sporting 2
Legion 1
Kohvile 1
Rumori Calcio 4
Tammeka Tartu 19
Zealot Sporting 0
Kristiine 8
Jogeva Wolves 3
Kuressaare 5
Tartu JK Welco 2 1
JK Poseidon 3
Helm 2
TBD -
Kalju -
FC Tallinn 4
Tallinna FC Zapoos 1
Saue JK Laagri -
Harju JK Laagri U21 -
Tammeka Tartu U19 0
Tallinna Kalev 8
Tartu Kalev 7
Kuusalu Kalev 0
1/16-finals
Narva -
Marjamaa Kompanii -
Keila JK -
Flora U19 -
Kose -
Tartu JK Welco -
Harju JK Laagri -
Tamper -
Levadia -
Paide Linnameeskond -
Johvi Phoenix -
Parnu JK Vaprus -
Hiiumaa -
Nomme Utd -
Tartu Helios -
Viimsi JK -
Flora -
Tallinna Kalev U21 -
Elva -
Raasiku Joker -
Olympic Tallinn -
Saku Sporting -
Rumori Calcio -
Tammeka Tartu -
Kristiine -
Kuressaare -
JK Poseidon -
Kalju -
FC Tallinn -
TBD -
Tallinna Kalev -
Tartu Kalev -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -