Sport Picks
FC Tallinn vs Tallinna Kalev - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
AI Match Summary
FC Tallinn host Tallinna Kalev in the Esiliiga. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: FC Tallinn at 1.31 goals for, 2.24 against; Tallinna Kalev at 2.17 for, 1.79 against. Past meetings favor Tallinna Kalev slightly — 0-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 8, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.88 xG vs 1.69) point toward Tallinna Kalev. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- FC Tallinn haven't matched Tallinna Kalev's recent run of results.
- 29% — that's where the model lands on Tallinna Kalev taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FC Tallinn | Tallinna Kalev |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 11 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 14 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.31 | 2.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.24 | 1.79 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.75 goals when they meet.
Defensive concern: Tallinna Kalev conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.
FC Tallinn has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Away concern: Tallinna Kalev has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
FC Tallinn
(Home)Tallinna Kalev
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tartu JK Welco | 33 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 92:39 | 71 |
| 2 | Viimsi JK | 32 | 17 | 5 | 10 | 58:32 | 56 |
| 3 | Flora Tallinn U21 | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 73:55 | 51 |
| 4 | Elva | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 47:48 | 51 |
| 5 | Levadia U21 | 32 | 16 | 2 | 14 | 62:55 | 50 |
| 6 | Tallinna Kalev | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 53:57 | 40 |
| 7 | Nomme Utd U21 | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 50:63 | 39 |
| 8 | FC Tallinn | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 41:71 | 35 |
| 9 | Kalju U21 | 32 | 7 | 4 | 21 | 38:80 | 25 |
| 10 | Maardu Linnameeskond | 36 | 12 | 5 | 19 | 45:59 | 41 |