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FC Tallinn vs Tallinna Kalev - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga Lasnamäe Sports Complex Stadium, Tallinn
Sun, Nov 8, 2026
VS
10:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Tallinn host Tallinna Kalev in the Esiliiga. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: FC Tallinn at 1.31 goals for, 2.24 against; Tallinna Kalev at 2.17 for, 1.79 against. Past meetings favor Tallinna Kalev slightly — 0-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 8, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.88 xG vs 1.69) point toward Tallinna Kalev. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
FC Tallinn
20%
Draws
29%
Tallinna Kalev
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FC Tallinn

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • FC Tallinn haven't matched Tallinna Kalev's recent run of results.
  • 29% — that's where the model lands on Tallinna Kalev taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
FC Tallinn Clean Sheet 13%
Tallinna Kalev Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Tallinn Tallinna Kalev
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 11
Draws 5 6
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.31 2.17
Goals Conceded 2.24 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Esiliiga
Tallinna Kalev vs FC Tallinn
1:1
May 14, 2026 Esiliiga
FC Tallinn vs Tallinna Kalev
1:1
Mar 15, 2026 Esiliiga
Tallinna Kalev vs FC Tallinn
5:1
Mar 5, 2025 Estonian Cup
FC Tallinn vs Tallinna Kalev
0:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Tallinn 11 / 100
Tallinna Kalev 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Tallinn Tallinna Kalev

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tallinna Kalev Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.75 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Tallinna Kalev conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

FC Tallinn has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Tallinna Kalev has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Tallinn VS Tallinna Kalev
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Tallinn

(Home)
15 Oct
FC Tallinn
0 : 7
Tartu JK Welco
10 Oct
Flora Tallinn U21
1 : 2
FC Tallinn
03 Oct
FC Tallinn
0 : 10
Harju JK Laagri
22 Sept
FC Tallinn
5 : 0
Harju JK Laagri U21
19 Sept
Elva
1 : 1
FC Tallinn
Page 1 of 6

Tallinna Kalev

(Away)
10 Oct
Tallinna Kalev
1 : 2
Viimsi JK
24 Sept
Elva
3 : 2
Tallinna Kalev
18 Sept
Tallinna Kalev
2 : 2
Flora Tallinn U21
13 Sept
Maardu Linnameeskond
:
Tallinna Kalev
10 Sept
Nomme Utd U21
2 : 1
Tallinna Kalev
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tartu JK Welco 33 22 5 6 92:39 71
2 Viimsi JK 32 17 5 10 58:32 56
3 Flora Tallinn U21 32 15 6 11 73:55 51
4 Elva 32 15 6 11 47:48 51
5 Levadia U21 32 16 2 14 62:55 50
6 Tallinna Kalev 31 11 7 13 53:57 40
7 Nomme Utd U21 32 11 6 15 50:63 39
8 FC Tallinn 32 9 8 15 41:71 35
9 Kalju U21 32 7 4 21 38:80 25
10 Maardu Linnameeskond 36 12 5 19 45:59 41
Promotion - Meistriliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B 2027 (Main)