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FC Tbilisi 2025 vs Betlemi Keda

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Gikashvili S.
42' Event
Lukava G.
48' Event
Gugeshashvili Z.

AI Match Summary

FC Tbilisi 2025 host Betlemi Keda in the Liga 3. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. FC Tbilisi 2025 have averaged 2.5 scored and 0.38 conceded recently, against Betlemi Keda's 0.88 scored and 2.25 conceded. Past meetings favor FC Tbilisi 2025 slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 15, 2026, ending 7:1. The numbers (2.38 xG vs 0.63) point toward FC Tbilisi 2025. FC Tbilisi 2025 in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
FC Tbilisi 2025
6%
Draws
4%
Betlemi Keda
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FC Tbilisi 2025

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • FC Tbilisi 2025 has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Betlemi Keda.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for FC Tbilisi 2025.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Liga 3 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
FC Tbilisi 2025 Clean Sheet 68%
Betlemi Keda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Tbilisi 2025 Betlemi Keda
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 22 7
Draws 7 5
Losses 2 19
Goals Scored 2.5 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.38 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 15, 2026 Liga 3
FC Tbilisi 2025 vs Betlemi Keda
7:1
Sep 12, 2025 Liga 3
FC Tbilisi 2025 vs Betlemi Keda
3:0
Apr 10, 2025 Liga 3
Betlemi Keda vs FC Tbilisi 2025
1:4
Aug 29, 2024 Liga 3
Betlemi Keda vs FC Tbilisi 2025
2:3
Mar 7, 2024 Liga 3
FC Tbilisi 2025 vs Betlemi Keda
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Tbilisi 2025 Compare

Top Goalscorer Lukava G.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Gugeshashvili Z.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Betlemi Keda Compare

Top Goalscorer Kakhiani G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Tbilisi 2025 95 / 100
Betlemi Keda 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Tbilisi 2025 Betlemi Keda

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TBI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Tbilisi 2025 scored in 94% of their last 31 games.

Betlemi Keda let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

FC Tbilisi 2025 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Betlemi Keda lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Tbilisi 2025 VS Betlemi Keda
2.5 Goals Scored 0.88
0.38 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Tbilisi 202515123040:839
2Guria15103242:1033
3Iberia 1999 21594225:931
4Gonio1593325:1130
5Orbi1582526:1526
6Merani Tbilisi1574421:1625
7Didube1574422:1825
8WIT Georgia1573521:1424
9Dinamo Tbilisi 21553718:1818
10Khobi1552820:2817
11Locomotive Tbilisi1544714:2116
12Margveti 20061551915:3016
13FC Gardabani1534814:3013
14Iveria Khashuri1516813:289
15Betlemi Keda1523109:339
16FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi1503128:443