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FC Tbilisi 2025 vs FC Rustavi

Georgia Georgia

Georgian Cup
FC Tbilisi 2025 Logo

FC Tbilisi 2025

0 - 1
FT
FC Rustavi Logo

FC Rustavi

Our Tip

Match Events

62' Event
Gujabidze A.
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with FC Rustavi advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
FC Tbilisi 2025
6%
Draws
4%
FC Rustavi
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FC Tbilisi 2025

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • FC Rustavi haven't matched FC Tbilisi 2025's recent run of results.
  • Model gives FC Tbilisi 2025 a 90% chance of winning this.
  • FC Tbilisi 2025 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor FC Rustavi, who have won 3 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and FC Rustavi have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
FC Tbilisi 2025 Clean Sheet 20%
FC Rustavi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Tbilisi 2025 FC Rustavi
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 22 18
Draws 7 8
Losses 1 9
Goals Scored 2.75 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.5 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Georgian Cup
FC Tbilisi 2025 vs FC Rustavi
0:1
Sep 22, 2023 Liga 3
FC Tbilisi 2025 vs FC Rustavi
0:4
Apr 27, 2023 Liga 3
FC Rustavi vs FC Tbilisi 2025
1:1
Sep 13, 2022 Georgian Cup
FC Tbilisi 2025 vs FC Rustavi
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Tbilisi 2025 85 / 100
FC Rustavi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Tbilisi 2025 FC Rustavi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TBI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FC Tbilisi 2025 scored in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: FC Tbilisi 2025 remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: FC Rustavi conceded in 60% of 35 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

FC Tbilisi 2025 VS FC Rustavi
2.75 Goals Scored 1.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Tbilisi 2025

(Home)
26 Jun
Aragvelebi
0 : 4
FC Tbilisi 2025
21 Jun
FC Gardabani
1 : 3
FC Tbilisi 2025
15 Jun
FC Tbilisi 2025
7 : 1
Betlemi Keda
28 May
Merani Tbilisi
0 : 2
FC Tbilisi 2025
21 May
FC Tbilisi 2025
5 : 0
Didube
Page 1 of 6

FC Rustavi

(Away)
22 Jun
Dila Gori
3 : 0
FC Rustavi
17 Jun
Iberia 1999
1 : 2
FC Rustavi
13 Jun
FC Rustavi
1 : 0
Meshakhte Tkibuli
29 May
FC Rustavi
2 : 1
Spaeri
25 May
Dinamo Batumi
1 : 0
FC Rustavi
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
FC Rustavi 22
Orbi3
TBD-
Dinamo Batumi-
Torpedo Kutaisi 20
Margveti 20064
TBD-
Iberia 1999-
Kolkheti 1913-
TBD-
Zooveti Tbilisi0
Dusheti2
Skuri Tsalenjikha3
Dinamo Tbilisi 24
TBD-
Spaeri-
Dinamo Sokhumi0
Gonio3
TBD-
Meshakhte Tkibuli-
Basa2
Locomotive Tbilisi1
TBD-
FC Gareji Sagarejo-
Mertskhali1
Gori3
TBD-
Bolnisi-
FC Gardabani1
FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi5
TBD-
Dila Gori-
Merani Martvili 21
Iberia 1999 22
TBD-
Telavi-
Merani Martvili-
TBD-
Gagra 21
Odishi 19192
Guria6
Merani Tbilisi1
TBD-
Dinamo Tbilisi-
Samtredia-
TBD-
West Georgia0
Shturmi2
Dmanisi0
WIT Georgia3
TBD-
Samgurali-
Iveria Khashuri5
Betlemi Keda4
TBD-
Torpedo Kutaisi-
Aragvelebi0
FC Tbilisi 20254
TBD-
FC Rustavi-
Samtskhe4
Didube1
TBD-
Gagra-
1/16-finals
Orbi1
Dinamo Batumi4
Margveti 20061
Iberia 19993
Kolkheti 19130
Dusheti1
Dinamo Tbilisi 21
Spaeri5
Gonio1
Meshakhte Tkibuli2
Basa0
FC Gareji Sagarejo2
Gori1
Bolnisi0
FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi0
Dila Gori1
Iberia 1999 20
Telavi0
Merani Martvili0
Odishi 19191
Guria0
Dinamo Tbilisi0
Samtredia-
Shturmi-
WIT Georgia1
Samgurali0
Iveria Khashuri-
Torpedo Kutaisi-
FC Tbilisi 2025-
FC Rustavi-
Samtskhe-
Gagra-
1/8-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Gori-
Dila Gori-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Quarter-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-