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FC Tbilisi vs Gagra

Georgia Georgia

Pirveli Liga 2007/2008
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Pirveli Liga 2007/2008 game between FC Tbilisi and Gagra finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
FC Tbilisi
30%
Draws
33%
Gagra
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: FC Tbilisi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FC Tbilisi come out ahead of Gagra on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans FC Tbilisi's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Pirveli Liga 2007/2008 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
FC Tbilisi Clean Sheet 20%
Gagra Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Tbilisi Gagra
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 12 10
Draws 5 10
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.8 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 3, 2008 Georgian Cup
FC Tbilisi vs Gagra
3:0
Jul 31, 2008 Georgian Cup
Gagra vs FC Tbilisi
2:4
Apr 18, 2008 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
FC Tbilisi vs Gagra
2:2
Nov 20, 2007 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Gagra vs FC Tbilisi
4:3
Sep 15, 2007 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
FC Tbilisi vs Gagra
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Tbilisi 85 / 100
Gagra 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Tbilisi Gagra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Tbilisi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gagra has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: FC Tbilisi scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

FC Tbilisi has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Gagra
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Tbilisi

(Home)
24 May
Dinamo Tbilisi 2
1 : 1
FC Tbilisi
19 May
FC Tbilisi
2 : 2
Dila Gori
12 May
FC Tbilisi
8 : 1
Kakheti Telavi
30 Apr
Chikhura Sachkhere
1 : 3
FC Tbilisi
26 Apr
Hereti
3 : 1
FC Tbilisi
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Gagra

(Away)
05 Sept
Dila Gori
1 : 0
Gagra
31 Aug
Gagra
2 : 0
Iberia 1999
26 Aug
Gagra
1 : 0
Dusheti
22 Aug
FC Rustavi
3 : 0
Gagra
17 Aug
Gagra
1 : 1
Spaeri
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gagra 27 16 6 5 59:36 54
2 Dinamo Tbilisi 2 27 14 7 6 41:24 49
3 WIT Georgia 2 27 14 6 7 41:21 48
4 Meshakre 27 13 9 5 34:22 48
5 Chikhura Sachkhere 27 12 7 8 40:37 43
6 FC Tbilisi 27 9 8 10 35:41 35
7 Kakheti Telavi 27 10 4 13 38:41 34
8 Ameri Tbilisi II 27 9 2 16 42:44 29
9 FC Olimpiki Tbilisi 27 7 4 16 38:52 25
10 Norchi Dinamo Tbilisi 27 1 7 19 20:70 10
Promotion - Pirveli Liga 2007/2008 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chiatura 27 21 4 2 56:17 67
2 Merani Martvili 27 13 5 9 36:25 44
3 Meshakhte Tkibuli 27 14 2 11 39:41 44
4 FC Zestaponi 2 27 12 4 11 39:28 40
5 Kolkheti 1913 27 11 7 9 36:33 40
6 Torpedo Kutaisi 27 11 6 10 37:31 39
7 Khobi 27 10 8 9 35:27 38
8 Samtredia 27 9 5 13 35:50 32
9 Universiteti Kutaisi 27 9 3 15 24:29 30
10 Racha Ambrolauri 27 2 2 23 17:73 8
Promotion - Pirveli Liga 2007/2008 (Play Offs)