Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Tokyo vs Kashima Antlers - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J1 League Ajinomoto Stadium, Tokyo
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
06:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Tokyo host Kashima Antlers in the J1 League. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: FC Tokyo at 2.14 goals for, 0.89 against; Kashima Antlers at 2.21 for, 1.21 against. Past meetings favor Kashima Antlers slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 23, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.81 vs 1.19, favoring Kashima Antlers. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
FC Tokyo
20%
Draws
40%
Kashima Antlers
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Kashima Antlers carry the better recent record into this one.
  • FC Tokyo are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Kashima Antlers have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
FC Tokyo Clean Sheet 20%
Kashima Antlers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Tokyo Kashima Antlers
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 18 19
Draws 4 2
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 2.14 2.21
Goals Conceded 0.89 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 J1 League
Kashima Antlers vs FC Tokyo
1:0
Feb 7, 2026 J1 League
FC Tokyo vs Kashima Antlers
2:1
Aug 10, 2025 J1 League
FC Tokyo vs Kashima Antlers
0:1
Mar 1, 2025 J1 League
Kashima Antlers vs FC Tokyo
2:0
Jul 20, 2024 J1 League
Kashima Antlers vs FC Tokyo
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Tokyo 85 / 100
Kashima Antlers 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Tokyo Kashima Antlers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Tokyo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Tokyo found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: FC Tokyo remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Kashima Antlers has conceded goals in 57% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

FC Tokyo VS Kashima Antlers
2.5 Goals Scored 2.25
0.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Tokyo

(Home)
25 Oct
FC Tokyo
6 : 0
Mito
21 Oct
FC Tokyo
0 : 0
Kashiwa Reysol
17 Oct
Verdy
0 : 4
FC Tokyo
14 Oct
Mito
1 : 0
FC Tokyo
10 Oct
FC Tokyo
3 : 0
Urawa Reds
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Kashima Antlers

(Away)
28 Oct
Kashima Antlers
3 : 0
Pohang
24 Oct
Kashima Antlers
2 : 3
Kashiwa Reysol
21 Oct
Kyoto
2 : 2
Kashima Antlers
17 Oct
Kashima Antlers
2 : 0
V-Varen Nagasaki
13 Oct
Cong An Ha Noi
0 : 1
Kashima Antlers
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Tokyo 13 9 3 1 31:8 30
2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 13 9 2 2 32:10 29
3 Kashiwa Reysol 13 9 1 3 29:19 28
4 Machida Zelvia 12 8 3 1 30:10 27
5 Vissel Kobe 13 8 2 3 21:12 26
6 Kashima Antlers 13 7 2 4 29:22 23
7 Kawasaki Frontale 12 6 4 2 25:18 22
8 Urawa Reds 13 7 0 6 21:27 21
9 Yokohama F. Marinos 12 4 6 2 16:12 18
10 Okayama 13 5 1 7 15:21 16
11 Nagoya Grampus 13 4 2 7 15:21 14
12 Cerezo Osaka 13 3 5 5 13:23 14
13 Shimizu S-Pulse 13 4 2 7 10:22 14
14 Kyoto 13 3 4 6 17:23 13
15 V-Varen Nagasaki 12 3 3 6 15:19 12
16 Gamba Osaka 12 2 5 5 14:21 11
17 Mito 13 2 3 8 12:25 9
18 Verdy 12 1 5 6 9:21 8
19 Avispa Fukuoka 12 2 1 9 13:21 7
20 Chiba 12 1 4 7 12:24 7
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)