Sport Picks
FC Tokyo vs Machida Zelvia
Japan
J1 League 2026 Ajinomoto Stadium, Tokyo 
Match Events
27'
27'
40'
40'
Okamura D.
63'
63'
Sub
Bangnagande K. In: Hashimoto K.
Out: Bangnagande K.
AI Match Summary
Machida Zelvia in this J1 League 2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Machida Zelvia.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
19%
20%
61%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Machida Zelvia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
61%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Machida Zelvia lately — more wins on the board than FC Tokyo.
- Model gives Machida Zelvia a 61% chance of winning this.
- Regular J1 League 2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
FC Tokyo Clean Sheet 10%
Machida Zelvia Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FC Tokyo | Machida Zelvia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 31 |
| Wins | 15 | 22 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 8 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.67 | 1.68 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.33 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 8, 2026 J1 League
FC Tokyo vs Machida Zelvia
1:5
Apr 5, 2026 J1 League
FC Tokyo vs Machida Zelvia
0:1
Apr 1, 2026 J1 League
Machida Zelvia vs FC Tokyo
0:3
Nov 16, 2025 Emperors Cup
Machida Zelvia vs FC Tokyo
2:0
Nov 9, 2025 J1 League
Machida Zelvia vs FC Tokyo
0:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
FC Tokyo 10 / 100
Machida Zelvia 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
FC Tokyo Machida Zelvia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Machida Zelvia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
FC Tokyo scored in 74% of their last 27 games.
Machida Zelvia has conceded goals in 61% of their last 31 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
FC Tokyo went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
FC Tokyo VS Machida Zelvia
1.13 Goals Scored 2
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
FC Tokyo
(Home) 15 Aug
Vissel Kobe
2 : 2 FC Tokyo
08 Aug
FC Tokyo
1 : 5 Machida Zelvia
01 Aug
FC Tokyo
0 : 1 Dortmund
21 Jul
FC Tokyo
2 : 1 Nagoya Grampus
06 Jun
FC Tokyo
1 : 3 Cerezo Osaka
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
FC Tokyo
1 : 5 Machida Zelvia
01 Aug
FC Tokyo
0 : 1 Dortmund
21 Jul
FC Tokyo
2 : 1 Nagoya Grampus
06 Jun
FC Tokyo
1 : 3 Cerezo Osaka
10 May
FC Tokyo
2 : 1 Verdy
Page 1 of 3
Machida Zelvia
(Away) 15 Aug
Chiba
0 : 4 Machida Zelvia
08 Aug
FC Tokyo
1 : 5 Machida Zelvia
18 Jul
Machida Zelvia
2 : 1 Fujieda MYFC
06 Jun
Machida Zelvia
2 : 1 Nagoya Grampus
30 May
Nagoya Grampus
2 : 2 Machida Zelvia
Page 1 of 7
15 Aug
Chiba
0 : 4 Machida Zelvia
08 Aug
FC Tokyo
1 : 5 Machida Zelvia
30 May
Nagoya Grampus
2 : 2 Machida Zelvia
17 May
Kawasaki Frontale
2 : 1 Machida Zelvia
10 May
Chiba
0 : 2 Machida Zelvia
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 15 | 0 | 3 | 31:11 | 45 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 32:18 | 37 |
| 3 | Machida Zelvia | 18 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 28:22 | 37 |
| 4 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 26:28 | 28 |
| 5 | Verdy | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 22:26 | 28 |
| 6 | Urawa Reds | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 25:22 | 25 |
| 7 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 18 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 28:31 | 20 |
| 8 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 22:24 | 20 |
| 9 | Mito | 18 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 23:39 | 18 |
| 10 | Chiba | 18 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 18:34 | 12 |
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 29:25 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 30:21 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 33:31 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 31:23 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 31:25 | 28 |
| 6 | Okayama | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 26:29 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 23:25 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 22:28 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 21:29 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 21:31 | 21 |
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
