Sport Picks
FC Tokyo vs Nagano Parceiro - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Japan
Emperors Cup Ajinomoto Stadium, Tokyo 
Match Events
9'
9'
Yamada F.
15'
15'
Morishige M.
45'
45'
Gyotoku E.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 6-0. This leg finished 6-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
45%
15%
40%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Tokyo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- FC Tokyo have won more games recently than Nagano Parceiro.
- FC Tokyo are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- FC Tokyo have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Nagano Parceiro, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
FC Tokyo Clean Sheet 68%
Nagano Parceiro Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FC Tokyo | Nagano Parceiro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 19 | 14 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 6 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 2.21 | 1.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.86 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 26, 2026 Emperors Cup
FC Tokyo vs Nagano Parceiro
6:0
Jun 21, 2017 Emperors Cup
FC Tokyo vs Nagano Parceiro
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
FC Tokyo Compare
Top Goalscorer Yamada F.
2 Goals Assists Leader Morishige M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Nagano Parceiro Compare
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
FC Tokyo 95 / 100
Nagano Parceiro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
FC Tokyo Nagano Parceiro
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick FC Tokyo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
FC Tokyo's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Games between these two average 4.50 goals.
Nagano Parceiro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.
Recent resilience: FC Tokyo stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
FC Tokyo VS Nagano Parceiro
2.5 Goals Scored 1.63
0.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
FC Tokyo
(Home) 31 Oct
Okayama
0 : 4 FC Tokyo
25 Oct
FC Tokyo
6 : 0 Mito
21 Oct
FC Tokyo
0 : 0 Kashiwa Reysol
17 Oct
Verdy
0 : 4 FC Tokyo
14 Oct
Mito
1 : 0 FC Tokyo
Page 1 of 6
25 Oct
FC Tokyo
6 : 0 Mito
21 Oct
FC Tokyo
0 : 0 Kashiwa Reysol
10 Oct
FC Tokyo
3 : 0 Urawa Reds
07 Oct
FC Tokyo
4 : 0 Shonan Bellmare
19 Sept
FC Tokyo
1 : 0 Nagoya Grampus
Page 1 of 4
Nagano Parceiro
(Away) 03 Nov
Kanazawa
0 : 2 Nagano Parceiro
31 Oct
Nagano Parceiro
3 : 1 Reilac Shiga
25 Oct
Giravanz Kitakyushu
3 : 1 Nagano Parceiro
21 Oct
Nagano Parceiro
0 : 1 Ryukyu
18 Oct
Nagano Parceiro
2 : 1 Matsumoto Yamaga
Page 1 of 6
03 Nov
Kanazawa
0 : 2 Nagano Parceiro
25 Oct
Giravanz Kitakyushu
3 : 1 Nagano Parceiro
10 Oct
Kochi United
1 : 3 Nagano Parceiro
26 Sept
Fukushima United
4 : 3 Nagano Parceiro
05 Sept
SC Sagamihara
1 : 1 Nagano Parceiro
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Vissel Kobe -
TBD -
Veroskronos Tsuno 3
Kamatamare Sanuki 1
Sagan Tosu -
TBD -
TBD -
Toyama -
Shimizu S-Pulse -
TBD -
Nara Club 1
FC Osaka 4
V-Varen Nagasaki -
TBD -
Ehime 2
International Pacific Univesity 1
Kashima Antlers -
TBD -
Atletico Suzuka 2
Basara Hyogo 1
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo -
TBD -
TBD -
Kofu -
Cerezo Osaka -
TBD -
Gifu 3
Toyama Shinjo 1
Albirex Niigata -
TBD -
Kagoshima United 2
Renofa Yamaguchi 1
Avispa Fukuoka -
TBD -
Verspah Oita 3
Kochi United 0
Yokohama FC -
TBD -
Ryutsu Keizai University 1
Criacao Shinjuku 2
FC Tokyo -
TBD -
Nagano Parceiro 2
Fukui Utd. 1
Shonan Bellmare -
TBD -
Reinmeer Aomori 15
Akita University 0
Kawasaki Frontale -
TBD -
Tochigi SC 2
Urayasu SC 0
Iwata -
TBD -
TBD -
Tegevajaro Miyazaki -
Yokohama F. Marinos -
TBD -
Fukushima United 7
Oyama 0
Mito -
TBD -
Kanazawa 1
Kyoto Sangyo 4
Machida Zelvia -
TBD -
Iwate Grulla Morioka 1
Sapporo University FC 0
Vegalta Sendai -
TBD -
TBD -
Tochigi City -
Nagoya Grampus -
TBD -
Gainare Tottori 3
Kumamoto 2
Verdy -
TBD -
Tohoku Gakuin University 1
Thespakusatsu Gunma 3
Kashiwa Reysol -
TBD -
Senshu University 2
Tsukuba Univ. 1
Imabari -
TBD -
TBD -
Blaublitz -
Okayama -
TBD -
Belugarosso Iwami 2
Nagasaki Intl University 0
Chiba -
TBD -
Arterivo Wakayama 0
Azul Claro Numazu 6
Kyoto -
TBD -
SRC Hiroshima 1
Maruyasu Okazaki 6
Montedio Yamagata -
TBD -
TBD -
Fujieda MYFC -
Sanfrecce Hiroshima -
TBD -
Giravanz Kitakyushu 1
Okinawa 2
Iwaki -
TBD -
TBD -
Oita Trinita -
Gamba Osaka -
TBD -
Reilac Shiga 2
Japan Soccer 1
Tokushima -
TBD -
FC Tokushima 1
Kawasoe Club 0
Urawa Reds -
TBD -
Yamanashi Gakuin 1
Tokyo International University 0
Omiya Ardija -
TBD -
TBD -
Vanraure -
1/32-finals
Vissel Kobe 2
Veroskronos Tsuno 1
Sagan Tosu 4
Toyama 0
Shimizu S-Pulse 2
FC Osaka 1
V-Varen Nagasaki 3
Ehime 2
Kashima Antlers 3
Atletico Suzuka 0
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1
Kofu 3
Cerezo Osaka 3
Gifu 1
Albirex Niigata 0
Kagoshima United 4
Avispa Fukuoka 1
Verspah Oita 0
Yokohama FC 3
Criacao Shinjuku 1
FC Tokyo 6
Nagano Parceiro 0
Shonan Bellmare 1
Reinmeer Aomori 0
Kawasaki Frontale 3
Tochigi SC 1
Iwata 0
Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1
Yokohama F. Marinos 1
Fukushima United 0
Mito 0
Kyoto Sangyo 2
Machida Zelvia 3
Iwate Grulla Morioka 0
Vegalta Sendai 1
Tochigi City 2
Nagoya Grampus 1
Gainare Tottori 3
Verdy 4
Thespakusatsu Gunma 1
Kashiwa Reysol 2
Senshu University 1
Imabari 4
Blaublitz 1
Okayama 3
Belugarosso Iwami 0
Chiba 2
Azul Claro Numazu 1
Kyoto 1
Maruyasu Okazaki 0
Montedio Yamagata 3
Fujieda MYFC 5
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4
Okinawa 1
Iwaki 2
Oita Trinita 0
Gamba Osaka 2
Reilac Shiga 0
Tokushima 3
FC Tokushima 0
Urawa Reds 3
Yamanashi Gakuin 0
Omiya Ardija 2
Vanraure 0
1/16-finals
Vissel Kobe 1
Sagan Tosu 0
Shimizu S-Pulse 2
V-Varen Nagasaki 1
Kashima Antlers 3
Kofu 1
Cerezo Osaka 2
Kagoshima United 0
Avispa Fukuoka 0
Yokohama FC 1
FC Tokyo 4
Shonan Bellmare 0
Kawasaki Frontale 2
Tegevajaro Miyazaki 0
Yokohama F. Marinos 2
Kyoto Sangyo 1
Machida Zelvia 2
Tochigi City 1
Gainare Tottori 0
Verdy 1
Kashiwa Reysol 4
Imabari 0
Okayama 1
Chiba 0
Kyoto 1
Fujieda MYFC 0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4
Iwaki 0
Gamba Osaka 5
Tokushima 0
Urawa Reds 3
Omiya Ardija 2
1/8-finals
Vissel Kobe -
Shimizu S-Pulse -
Kashima Antlers -
Cerezo Osaka -
Yokohama FC -
FC Tokyo -
Kawasaki Frontale -
Yokohama F. Marinos -
Machida Zelvia -
Verdy -
Kashiwa Reysol -
Okayama -
Kyoto -
Sanfrecce Hiroshima -
Gamba Osaka -
Urawa Reds -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
