Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Tokyo vs Nagano Parceiro

Japan Japan

Emperors Cup Ajinomoto Stadium, Tokyo
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Yamada F.
15' Event
Morishige M.
45'
Gyotoku E.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 6-0. This leg finished 6-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
FC Tokyo
30%
Draws
9%
Nagano Parceiro
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: FC Tokyo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • FC Tokyo have won more games recently than Nagano Parceiro.
  • FC Tokyo are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • FC Tokyo have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Nagano Parceiro, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
FC Tokyo Clean Sheet 68%
Nagano Parceiro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Tokyo Nagano Parceiro
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 18 10
Draws 3 2
Losses 8 17
Goals Scored 1.86 1
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2026 Emperors Cup
FC Tokyo vs Nagano Parceiro
6:0
Jun 21, 2017 Emperors Cup
FC Tokyo vs Nagano Parceiro
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Tokyo Compare

Top Goalscorer Yamada F.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Morishige M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Nagano Parceiro Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Tokyo 95 / 100
Nagano Parceiro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Tokyo Nagano Parceiro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Tokyo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

FC Tokyo went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

FC Tokyo's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Nagano Parceiro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Tokyo VS Nagano Parceiro
2.13 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Tokyo

(Home)
12 Sept
Gamba Osaka
0 : 2
FC Tokyo
06 Sept
FC Tokyo
2 : 0
Kyoto
02 Sept
Shimizu S-Pulse
1 : 1
FC Tokyo
29 Aug
V-Varen Nagasaki
0 : 3
FC Tokyo
26 Aug
FC Tokyo
6 : 0
Nagano Parceiro
Page 1 of 6

Nagano Parceiro

(Away)
13 Sept
Nagano Parceiro
1 : 1
Tochigi SC
09 Sept
Nagano Parceiro
0 : 1
Mito
05 Sept
SC Sagamihara
1 : 1
Nagano Parceiro
30 Aug
Nagano Parceiro
1 : 2
Thespakusatsu Gunma
26 Aug
FC Tokyo
6 : 0
Nagano Parceiro
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Kashima Antlers -
TBD -
Atletico Suzuka 2
Basara Hyogo 1
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo -
TBD -
TBD -
Kofu -
Nagoya Grampus -
TBD -
Gainare Tottori 3
Kumamoto 2
Verdy -
TBD -
Tohoku Gakuin University 1
Thespakusatsu Gunma 3
Kawasaki Frontale -
TBD -
Tochigi SC 2
Urayasu SC 0
Iwata -
TBD -
TBD -
Tegevajaro Miyazaki -
Gamba Osaka -
TBD -
Reilac Shiga 2
Japan Soccer 1
Tokushima -
TBD -
FC Tokushima 1
Kawasoe Club 0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima -
TBD -
Giravanz Kitakyushu 1
Okinawa 2
Iwaki -
TBD -
TBD -
Oita Trinita -
Okayama -
TBD -
Belugarosso Iwami 2
Nagasaki Intl University 0
Chiba -
TBD -
Arterivo Wakayama 0
Azul Claro Numazu 6
Vissel Kobe -
TBD -
Veroskronos Tsuno 3
Kamatamare Sanuki 1
Sagan Tosu -
TBD -
TBD -
Toyama -
Avispa Fukuoka -
TBD -
Verspah Oita 3
Kochi United 0
Yokohama FC -
TBD -
Ryutsu Keizai University 1
Criacao Shinjuku 2
Kashiwa Reysol -
TBD -
Senshu University 2
Tsukuba Univ. 1
Imabari -
TBD -
TBD -
Blaublitz -
Yokohama F. Marinos -
TBD -
Fukushima United 7
Oyama 0
Mito -
TBD -
Kanazawa 1
Kyoto Sangyo 4
Urawa Reds -
TBD -
Yamanashi Gakuin 1
Tokyo International University 0
Omiya Ardija -
TBD -
TBD -
Vanraure -
Cerezo Osaka -
TBD -
Gifu 3
Toyama Shinjo 1
Albirex Niigata -
TBD -
Kagoshima United 2
Renofa Yamaguchi 1
Kyoto -
TBD -
SRC Hiroshima 1
Maruyasu Okazaki 6
Montedio Yamagata -
TBD -
TBD -
Fujieda MYFC -
Shimizu S-Pulse -
TBD -
Nara Club 1
FC Osaka 4
V-Varen Nagasaki -
TBD -
Ehime 2
International Pacific Univesity 1
Machida Zelvia -
TBD -
Iwate Grulla Morioka 1
Sapporo University FC 0
Vegalta Sendai -
TBD -
TBD -
Tochigi City -
FC Tokyo -
TBD -
Nagano Parceiro 2
Fukui Utd. 1
Shonan Bellmare -
TBD -
Reinmeer Aomori 15
Akita University 0
1/32-finals
Kashima Antlers 3
Atletico Suzuka 0
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1
Kofu 3
Nagoya Grampus 1
Gainare Tottori 3
Verdy 4
Thespakusatsu Gunma 1
Kawasaki Frontale 3
Tochigi SC 1
Iwata 0
Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1
Gamba Osaka 2
Reilac Shiga 0
Tokushima 3
FC Tokushima 0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4
Okinawa 1
Iwaki 2
Oita Trinita 0
Okayama 3
Belugarosso Iwami 0
Chiba 2
Azul Claro Numazu 1
Vissel Kobe 2
Veroskronos Tsuno 1
Sagan Tosu 4
Toyama 0
Avispa Fukuoka 1
Verspah Oita 0
Yokohama FC 3
Criacao Shinjuku 1
Kashiwa Reysol 2
Senshu University 1
Imabari 4
Blaublitz 1
Yokohama F. Marinos 1
Fukushima United 0
Mito 0
Kyoto Sangyo 2
Urawa Reds 3
Yamanashi Gakuin 0
Omiya Ardija 2
Vanraure 0
Cerezo Osaka 3
Gifu 1
Albirex Niigata 0
Kagoshima United 4
Kyoto 1
Maruyasu Okazaki 0
Montedio Yamagata 3
Fujieda MYFC 5
Shimizu S-Pulse 2
FC Osaka 1
V-Varen Nagasaki 3
Ehime 2
Machida Zelvia 3
Iwate Grulla Morioka 0
Vegalta Sendai 1
Tochigi City 2
FC Tokyo 6
Nagano Parceiro 0
Shonan Bellmare 1
Reinmeer Aomori 0
1/16-finals
Kashima Antlers -
Kofu -
Gainare Tottori -
Verdy -
Kawasaki Frontale -
Tegevajaro Miyazaki -
Gamba Osaka -
Tokushima -
Sanfrecce Hiroshima -
Iwaki -
Okayama -
Chiba -
Vissel Kobe -
Sagan Tosu -
Avispa Fukuoka -
Yokohama FC -
Kashiwa Reysol -
Imabari -
Yokohama F. Marinos -
Kyoto Sangyo -
Urawa Reds -
Omiya Ardija -
Cerezo Osaka -
Kagoshima United -
Kyoto -
Fujieda MYFC -
Shimizu S-Pulse -
V-Varen Nagasaki -
Machida Zelvia -
Tochigi City -
FC Tokyo -
Shonan Bellmare -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -