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FC Tokyo vs Nagoya Grampus

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Tokyo in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Tokyo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
FC Tokyo
6%
Draws
4%
Nagoya Grampus
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FC Tokyo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FC Tokyo lately — more wins on the board than Nagoya Grampus.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on FC Tokyo taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
FC Tokyo Clean Sheet 15%
Nagoya Grampus Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Tokyo Nagoya Grampus
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 12
Draws 5 3
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.88 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.25 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 21, 2026 Club Friendly
FC Tokyo vs Nagoya Grampus
2:1
Aug 31, 2025 J1 League
Nagoya Grampus vs FC Tokyo
1:1
Feb 26, 2025 J1 League
FC Tokyo vs Nagoya Grampus
3:1
Sep 14, 2024 J1 League
FC Tokyo vs Nagoya Grampus
4:1
May 15, 2024 J1 League
Nagoya Grampus vs FC Tokyo
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Tokyo 84 / 100
Nagoya Grampus 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Tokyo Nagoya Grampus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TOK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

FC Tokyo scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Nagoya Grampus has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: FC Tokyo remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Tokyo VS Nagoya Grampus
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Tokyo

(Home)
21 Jul
FC Tokyo
2 : 1
Nagoya Grampus
06 Jun
FC Tokyo
1 : 3
Cerezo Osaka
30 May
Cerezo Osaka
2 : 2
FC Tokyo
23 May
Kashima Antlers
1 : 0
FC Tokyo
16 May
Urawa Reds
0 : 1
FC Tokyo
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Nagoya Grampus

(Away)
21 Jul
FC Tokyo
2 : 1
Nagoya Grampus
06 Jun
Machida Zelvia
2 : 1
Nagoya Grampus
30 May
Nagoya Grampus
2 : 2
Machida Zelvia
23 May
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
4 : 2
Nagoya Grampus
17 May
Cerezo Osaka
6 : 1
Nagoya Grampus
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