Sport Picks

FC Tokyo vs Shonan Bellmare - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan

Emperors Cup Ajinomoto Stadium, Tokyo

FC Tokyo

4 - 0

Shonan Bellmare

Our Tip

Match Events

14'

Yamada F.

34'

Gomez D.

46'

Sub

Nishino T. In: Gonzalez F.

Out: Nishino T.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-0. The second leg ended 4-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%

FC Tokyo

20%

Draws

28%

Shonan Bellmare

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FC Tokyo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence

FC Tokyo carry the better recent record into this one.
Model gives FC Tokyo a 52% chance of winning this.
FC Tokyo have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor FC Tokyo, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%

FC Tokyo Clean Sheet 68%

Shonan Bellmare Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	FC Tokyo	Shonan Bellmare
Matches Played	28	29
Wins	18	14
Draws	3	4
Losses	7	11
Goals Scored	1.93	1.31
Goals Conceded	1	1.28
Expected Goals (xG)	2.00	0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 7, 2026 Emperors Cup

FC Tokyo vs Shonan Bellmare

4:0

Feb 8, 2026 Club Friendly

FC Tokyo vs Shonan Bellmare

0:0

Aug 16, 2025 J1 League

Shonan Bellmare vs FC Tokyo

2:2

May 21, 2025 J.League Cup

Shonan Bellmare vs FC Tokyo

1:0

Mar 8, 2025 J1 League

FC Tokyo vs Shonan Bellmare

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Tokyo Compare

Top Goalscorer Yamada F.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Gomez D.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.54

Avg xA / game 1

Shonan Bellmare Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Tokyo 95 / 100

Shonan Bellmare 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

FC Tokyo Shonan Bellmare

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Tokyo Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Tokyo scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Solid form: FC Tokyo remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Shonan Bellmare's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

FC Tokyo VS Shonan Bellmare

2.63 Goals Scored 1.38

0.13 Goals Conceded 1.38

88% Over 1.5 63%

38% Over 2.5 50%

25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Tokyo

(Home)

07 Oct

FC Tokyo

4 : 0

Shonan Bellmare

29 Sept

Ehime

0 : 2

FC Tokyo

19 Sept

FC Tokyo

1 : 0

Nagoya Grampus

12 Sept

Gamba Osaka

0 : 2

FC Tokyo

06 Sept

FC Tokyo

2 : 0

Kyoto

Page 1 of 6

Shonan Bellmare

(Away)

07 Oct

FC Tokyo

4 : 0

Shonan Bellmare

03 Oct

Fujieda MYFC

1 : 1

Shonan Bellmare

26 Sept

Imabari

1 : 2

Shonan Bellmare

19 Sept

Shonan Bellmare

1 : 1

Blaublitz

12 Sept

Vanraure

0 : 1

Shonan Bellmare

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/64-finals

Kashima Antlers -

TBD -

Atletico Suzuka 2

Basara Hyogo 1

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo -

TBD -

Kofu -

Nagoya Grampus -

TBD -

Gainare Tottori 3

Kumamoto 2

Verdy -

TBD -

Tohoku Gakuin University 1

Thespakusatsu Gunma 3

Kawasaki Frontale -

TBD -

Tochigi SC 2

Urayasu SC 0

Iwata -

TBD -

Tegevajaro Miyazaki -

Gamba Osaka -

TBD -

Reilac Shiga 2

Japan Soccer 1

Tokushima -

TBD -

FC Tokushima 1

Kawasoe Club 0

Sanfrecce Hiroshima -

TBD -

Giravanz Kitakyushu 1

Okinawa 2

Iwaki -

TBD -

Oita Trinita -

Okayama -

TBD -

Belugarosso Iwami 2

Nagasaki Intl University 0

Chiba -

TBD -

Arterivo Wakayama 0

Azul Claro Numazu 6

Vissel Kobe -

TBD -

Veroskronos Tsuno 3

Kamatamare Sanuki 1

Sagan Tosu -

TBD -

Toyama -

Avispa Fukuoka -

TBD -

Verspah Oita 3

Kochi United 0

Yokohama FC -

TBD -

Ryutsu Keizai University 1

Criacao Shinjuku 2

Kashiwa Reysol -

TBD -

Senshu University 2

Tsukuba Univ. 1

Imabari -

TBD -

Blaublitz -

Yokohama F. Marinos -

TBD -

Fukushima United 7

Oyama 0

Mito -

TBD -

Kanazawa 1

Kyoto Sangyo 4

Urawa Reds -

TBD -

Yamanashi Gakuin 1

Tokyo International University 0

Omiya Ardija -

TBD -

Vanraure -

Cerezo Osaka -

TBD -

Gifu 3

Toyama Shinjo 1

Albirex Niigata -

TBD -

Kagoshima United 2

Renofa Yamaguchi 1

Kyoto -

TBD -

SRC Hiroshima 1

Maruyasu Okazaki 6

Montedio Yamagata -

TBD -

Fujieda MYFC -

Shimizu S-Pulse -

TBD -

Nara Club 1

FC Osaka 4

V-Varen Nagasaki -

TBD -

Ehime 2

International Pacific Univesity 1

Machida Zelvia -

TBD -

Iwate Grulla Morioka 1

Sapporo University FC 0

Vegalta Sendai -

TBD -

Tochigi City -

FC Tokyo -

TBD -

Nagano Parceiro 2

Fukui Utd. 1

Shonan Bellmare -

TBD -

Reinmeer Aomori 15

Akita University 0

1/32-finals

Kashima Antlers 3

Atletico Suzuka 0

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1

Kofu 3

Nagoya Grampus 1

Gainare Tottori 3

Verdy 4

Thespakusatsu Gunma 1

Kawasaki Frontale 3

Tochigi SC 1

Iwata 0

Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1

Gamba Osaka 2

Reilac Shiga 0

Tokushima 3

FC Tokushima 0

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4

Okinawa 1

Iwaki 2

Oita Trinita 0

Okayama 3

Belugarosso Iwami 0

Chiba 2

Azul Claro Numazu 1

Vissel Kobe 2

Veroskronos Tsuno 1

Sagan Tosu 4

Toyama 0

Avispa Fukuoka 1

Verspah Oita 0

Yokohama FC 3

Criacao Shinjuku 1

Kashiwa Reysol 2

Senshu University 1

Imabari 4

Blaublitz 1

Yokohama F. Marinos 1

Fukushima United 0

Mito 0

Kyoto Sangyo 2

Urawa Reds 3

Yamanashi Gakuin 0

Omiya Ardija 2

Vanraure 0

Cerezo Osaka 3

Gifu 1

Albirex Niigata 0

Kagoshima United 4

Kyoto 1

Maruyasu Okazaki 0

Montedio Yamagata 3

Fujieda MYFC 5

Shimizu S-Pulse 2

FC Osaka 1

V-Varen Nagasaki 3

Ehime 2

Machida Zelvia 3

Iwate Grulla Morioka 0

Vegalta Sendai 1

Tochigi City 2

FC Tokyo 6

Nagano Parceiro 0

Shonan Bellmare 1

Reinmeer Aomori 0

1/16-finals

Kashima Antlers 3

Kofu 1

Gainare Tottori 0

Verdy 1

Kawasaki Frontale 2

Tegevajaro Miyazaki 0

Gamba Osaka 5

Tokushima 0

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4

Iwaki 0

Okayama 1

Chiba 0

Vissel Kobe 1

Sagan Tosu 0

Avispa Fukuoka 0

Yokohama FC 1

Kashiwa Reysol 4

Imabari 0

Yokohama F. Marinos 2

Kyoto Sangyo 1

Urawa Reds 3

Omiya Ardija 2

Cerezo Osaka 2

Kagoshima United 0

Kyoto 1

Fujieda MYFC 0

Shimizu S-Pulse 2

V-Varen Nagasaki 1

Machida Zelvia 2

Tochigi City 1

FC Tokyo 4

Shonan Bellmare 0

1/8-finals

TBD -

Quarter-finals

TBD -

Semi-finals

TBD -

Final

TBD -

FC Tokyo vs Shonan Bellmare - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan

FC Tokyo

Shonan Bellmare

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

FC Tokyo Compare

Shonan Bellmare Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

FC Tokyo

Shonan Bellmare

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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